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Phillips 66 (Phillips 66) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $151.81 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Phillips 66 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-27), Phillips 66's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $151.81. The stock price of Phillips 66 is $151.41. Therefore, Phillips 66's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Phillips 66's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

PSX' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.87   Med: 1.15   Max: 1.57
Current: 1

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Phillips 66 was 1.57. The lowest was 0.87. And the median was 1.15.

PSX's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
58.32% of 679 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 0.86 vs PSX: 1.00

Phillips 66 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Phillips 66's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Phillips 66 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Phillips 66 Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 70.93 57.79 69.95 120.06 151.81

Phillips 66 Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 120.06 126.84 134.58 142.31 151.81

Competitive Comparison of Phillips 66's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Phillips 66's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Phillips 66's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Phillips 66's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Phillips 66's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Phillips 66 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Phillips 66's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $3,814.56.

Phillips 66's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(11.145567245439*3814.56+30583*0.8)/441.225
=151.81

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Phillips 66  (NYSE:PSX) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Phillips 66's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=151.41/151.80879368069
=1.00

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Phillips 66 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Phillips 66's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Phillips 66 (Phillips 66) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Address
2331 CityWest Boulevard, Houston, TX, USA, 77042
Phillips 66 is an independent refiner with 12 refineries that have a total crude throughput capacity of 1.9 million barrels per day, or mmb/d. In 2023, the Rodeo, California, facility will cease operations and be converted to produce renewable diesel. The midstream segment comprises extensive transportation and NGL processing assets and includes DCP Midstream, which holds 600 mbd of NGL fractionation and 22,000 miles of pipeline. Its CPChem chemical joint venture operates facilities in the United States and the Middle East and primarily produces olefins and polyolefins.
Executives
Zhanna Golodryga officer: Executive Vice President PO BOX 10247, BIRMINGHAM AL 35202-0247
Vanessa Allen Sutherland officer: EVP, GC and Secretary 650 W PEACHTREE ST NW, ATLANTA GA 30308
Joseph Scott Pruitt officer: Vice President and Controller 2331 CITYWEST BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77042
Kevin J Mitchell officer: Exec. VP, Finance and CFO 3010 BRIARPARK DRIVE, HOUSTON TX 77042
Timothy D. Roberts officer: Executive Vice President C/O PHILLIPS 66 PARTNERS LP, 3010 BRIARPARK DRIVE, HOUSTON TX 77042
Greg C. Garland officer: Chairman, Pres. and CEO-Desig 2331 CITYWEST BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77042
Brian Mandell officer: Senior Vice President 370 17TH STREET, SUITE 2500, DENVER CO 80202
Gregory Hayes director 870 WINTER STREET, WALTHAM MA 02451
Paula Ann Johnson officer: SVP, Gen Counsel & Sec (Desig) 600 N. DAIRY ASHFORD, HOUSTON TX 77079
Richard G Harbison officer: Senior VP, Refining 2331 CITYWEST BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77042
Robert A Herman officer: Executive Vice President 3010 BRIARPARK DRIVE, 9TH FLOOR, HOUSTON TX 77042
Douglas T Terreson director 2331 CITYWEST BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77042
Denise R Singleton director 3100 SANDERS ROAD, SUITE 301, NORTHBROOK IL 60062
Mark E Lashier officer: President and COO 2331 CITYWEST BLVD., HOUSTON TX 77042
Charles M Holley director

Phillips 66 (Phillips 66) Headlines

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