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Thai Oil PCL (Thai Oil PCL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $0.79 (As of May. 21, 2024)


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What is Thai Oil PCL Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-21), Thai Oil PCL's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.79. The stock price of Thai Oil PCL is $1.44. Therefore, Thai Oil PCL's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for Thai Oil PCL's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

TOIPF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.39   Med: 0.72   Max: 2.07
Current: 1.82

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Thai Oil PCL was 2.07. The lowest was 0.39. And the median was 0.72.

TOIPF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
81.37% of 671 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 0.82 vs TOIPF: 1.82

Thai Oil PCL Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Thai Oil PCL's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Thai Oil PCL Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Thai Oil PCL Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.04 2.14 1.00 0.94 0.77

Thai Oil PCL Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.28 0.90 0.83 0.77 0.76

Competitive Comparison of Thai Oil PCL's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Thai Oil PCL's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Thai Oil PCL's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Thai Oil PCL's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Thai Oil PCL's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Thai Oil PCL Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Thai Oil PCL's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-255.04.

Thai Oil PCL's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-255.04064+4750.251*0.8)/2237.765
=0.61

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Thai Oil PCL  (OTCPK:TOIPF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Thai Oil PCL's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1.44/0.6131672610574
=2.35

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Thai Oil PCL Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Thai Oil PCL (Thai Oil PCL) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
11th Floor, Vibhavadi Rangsit Road, 555/1 Energy Complex Building A, Kwang Chatuchak, Khet Chatuchak, Bangkok, THA, 10900
Thai Oil PCL is a refiner and supplier of petroleum products. Based out of Thailand, the company's refinery unit produces the most revenue of its various business segments. Thai Oil's refined products primarily consist of middle-distillation fuels such as jet fuel, kerosene, and diesel fuel. Once refined, petroleum products can be transported by the midstream business, Thai Petroleum Pipeline. In addition to the transportation and refinery segments, Thai Oil produces aromatics, which are used in products like detergent. Power generation, alternative energy, and chemical production are also byproducts of Thai Oil and its many subsidiaries.

Thai Oil PCL (Thai Oil PCL) Headlines

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