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ORCL (Oracle) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $50.95 (As of Oct. 31, 2024)


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What is Oracle Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-10-31), Oracle's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $50.95. The stock price of Oracle is $167.84. Therefore, Oracle's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 3.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Oracle's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ORCL' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.8   Med: 1.2   Max: 3.43
Current: 3.29

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Oracle was 3.43. The lowest was 0.80. And the median was 1.20.

ORCL's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
73.41% of 1309 companies
in the Software industry
Industry Median: 1.64 vs ORCL: 3.29

Oracle Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Oracle's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Oracle Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Oracle Annual Data
Trend May15 May16 May17 May18 May19 May20 May21 May22 May23 May24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 48.87 59.68 47.36 50.71 50.43

Oracle Quarterly Data
Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 52.48 47.24 49.93 50.43 50.95

Competitive Comparison of Oracle's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, Oracle's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Oracle's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Oracle's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Oracle's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Oracle Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Oracle's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $10,983.52.

Oracle's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Aug24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(12.437096484727*10983.52+10816*0.8)/2851.000
=50.95

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Oracle  (NYSE:ORCL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Oracle's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=167.84/50.949104869143
=3.29

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Oracle Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Oracle's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Oracle Business Description

Industry
Address
2300 Oracle Way, Austin, TX, USA, 78741
Oracle provides database technology and enterprise resource planning, or ERP, software to enterprises around the world. Founded in 1977, Oracle pioneered the first commercial SQL-based relational database management system. Today, Oracle has 430,000 customers in 175 countries, supported by its base of 136,000 employees.
Executives
Maria Smith officer: EVP, Chief Accounting Officer C/O DELPHI ASSET MANAGEMENT CORP, 5525 KIETZKE LANE, SUITE 200, RENO NV 89511
Leon E Panetta director 3290 WEST BAYSHORE RD, PALO ALTO CA 94303
Lawrence Joseph Ellison director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O DELPHI ASSET MGMT CORPORATION, 5525 KIETZKE LANE, SUITE 200, RENO NV 89511
Edward Screven officer: Chief Corporate Architect C/O DELPHI ASSET MANAGEMENT CORP, 5525 KIETZKE LANE, SUITE 200, RENO NV 89511
Jeffrey Berg director C/O DELPHI ASSET MGMT. CORP, 5525 KIETZKE LANE, SUITE 200, RENO NV 89511
Michael J Boskin director C/O RIPPLEWOOD HOLDINGS LLC, ONE ROCKERFELLER PLAZA, NEW YORK NY 10020
George H Conrades director 500 TECHNOLOGY SQUARE, FIFTH FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Safra Catz director, officer: President C/O DELPHI ASSET MGMT CORPORATION, 5525 KIETZKE LANE, SUITE 200, RENO NV 89511
Jeffrey Henley director, officer: Executive Vice Chairman C/O DELPHI ASSET MGMT. CORP, 5525 KIETZKE LANE, SUITE 200, RENO NV 89511
Naomi O Seligman director ONE DIAMOND HILL RD, MURRAY HILL NJ 07974
Rona Alison Fairhead director C/O INTERACTIVE DATA CORPORATION, 32 CROSBY DRIVE, BEDFORD MA 01730
Stuart Levey officer: EVP, Chief Legal Officer C/O DELPHI ASSET MANAGEMENT CORP, 5525 KIETZKE LANE, SUITE 200, RENO NV 89511
Renee Jo James director 2111 NE 25TH AVE, JF1-41, HILLSBORO OR 97124
Awo Ablo director C/O DELPHI ASSET MANAGEMENT, 5525 KIETZKE LANE, #200, RENO NV 89511
Charles W Moorman director DUKE ENERGY CORPORATION, 550 SOUTH TRYON STREET - DEC45A, CHARLOTTE NC 28202