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LKQ (LKQ) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $65.36 (As of Oct. 31, 2024)


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What is LKQ Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-10-31), LKQ's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $65.36. The stock price of LKQ is $36.79. Therefore, LKQ's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for LKQ's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

LKQ' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.56   Med: 1   Max: 1.86
Current: 0.56

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of LKQ was 1.86. The lowest was 0.56. And the median was 1.00.

LKQ's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
70.37% of 908 companies
in the Vehicles & Parts industry
Industry Median: 0.985 vs LKQ: 0.56

LKQ Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for LKQ's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

LKQ Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

LKQ Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 33.99 41.82 48.35 55.10 61.50

LKQ Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 61.41 61.50 61.65 62.42 65.36

Competitive Comparison of LKQ's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Auto Parts subindustry, LKQ's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


LKQ's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, LKQ's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where LKQ's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



LKQ Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get LKQ's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $972.44.

LKQ's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Sep24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(12.522615765129*972.44272+6234*0.8)/262.600
=65.36

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


LKQ  (NAS:LKQ) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

LKQ's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=36.79/65.364533648733
=0.56

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


LKQ Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of LKQ's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


LKQ Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
500 West Madison Street, Suite 2800, Chicago, IL, USA, 60661
Since forming in 1998 to consolidate the auto salvage business in the United States, LKQ has developed into a leading distributor of aftermarket and recycled auto parts with around 1,700 facilities across North America and Europe. The company primarily sells into the professional, or do-it-for-me, channel and offers an assortment of collision and mechanical parts to both body shops and mechanical repair shops. It also continues to operate more than 70 LKQ pick-your-part junkyards. Separate from the self-service business, LKQ typically purchases around 250,000 salvage vehicles annually that are used to extract vehicle parts for resale.
Executives
Rick Galloway officer: SVP and CFO 500 WEST MADISON STREET, SUITE 2800, CHICAGO IL 60661
Matthew J Mckay officer: SVP of Human Resources 500 WEST MADISON STREET, SUITE 2800, CHICAGO IL 60661
Justin L Jude officer: SVP Ops -- Wholesale Parts C/O LKQ CORPORATION, 500 W. MADISON STREET, SUITE 2800, CHICAGO IL 60661
Walter P Hanley officer: Senior VP of Development C/O LKQ CORPORATION, 120 NORTH LASALLE STREET, SUITE 3300, CHICAGO IL 60602
Patrick Berard director 500 W. MADISON STREET, SUITE 2800, CHICAGO IL 60661
Xavier Urbain director 500 W. MADISON STREET, SUITE 2800, CHICAGO IL 60661
Dominick P Zarcone director, officer: President and CEO C/O LKQ CORPORATION, 500 W. MADISON STREET, SUITE 2800, CHICAGO IL 60661
Blythe J Mcgarvie director HANNAFORD BROS CO, 145 PLEASANT HILL RD, SCARBOROUGH ME 04074
Varun Laroyia officer: Executive VP and CFO 500 WEST MADISON STREET, SUITE 2800, CHICAGO IL 60661
Meg Divitto director 500 WEST MADISON STREET, SUITE 2800, CHICAGO IL 60661
Robert M. Hanser director 500 W. MADISON STREET, SUITE 2800, CHICAGO IL 60661
John W Mendel director C/O TRUECAR, INC., 120 BROADWAY, SUITE 200, SANTA MONICA CA 90401
Valueact Capital Master Fund, L.p. director, other: See Remarks ONE LETTERMAN DRIVE, BUILDING D, 4TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94129
Joseph M Holsten director, officer: President and CEO
Genevieve L Dombrowski officer: SVP -- Human Resources 500 WEST MADISON STREET, SUITE 2800, CHICAGO IL 60661