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GSE Systems (GSE Systems) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $3.81 (As of May. 14, 2024)


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What is GSE Systems Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-14), GSE Systems's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $3.81. The stock price of GSE Systems is $3.1631. Therefore, GSE Systems's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for GSE Systems's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

GVP' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.53   Med: 0.9   Max: 2.95
Current: 0.83

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of GSE Systems was 2.95. The lowest was 0.53. And the median was 0.90.

GVP's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
81.63% of 1274 companies
in the Software industry
Industry Median: 1.62 vs GVP: 0.83

GSE Systems Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for GSE Systems's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

GSE Systems Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

GSE Systems Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 25.84 16.81 19.86 12.08 3.81

GSE Systems Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 12.08 6.22 4.95 3.84 3.81

Competitive Comparison of GSE Systems's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Software - Application subindustry, GSE Systems's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


GSE Systems's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, GSE Systems's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where GSE Systems's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



GSE Systems Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get GSE Systems's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $0.65.

GSE Systems's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*0.6528+5.342*0.8)/2.751
=3.81

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


GSE Systems  (NAS:GVP) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

GSE Systems's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=3.1631/3.8126083321868
=0.83

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


GSE Systems Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of GSE Systems's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


GSE Systems (GSE Systems) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
6940 Columbia Gateway Dr., Suite 470, Columbia, MD, USA, 21046
GSE Systems Inc is a company engaged in providing engineering, staffing, and simulation software to clients in the power and process industries. It is also into providing interactive computer-based tutorials and simulation software for the refining, chemical, and petrochemical industries. It functions through two segments: Engineering segment and Workforce Solutions segment. Its geographical segments include the United States, Europe, and Asia, out of which the majority of the revenue is generated from the United States.
Executives
Dougherty Iii Thomas James director GSE SYSTEMS, INC, 6940 COLUMBIA GATEWAY DRIVE, SUITE 470, COLUMBIA MD 21046
Kathryn O'connor director GSE SYSTEMS, INC, 1332 LONDONTOWN BLVD SUITE 200, SYKESVILLE MD 21784
Corey William S. Jr. director C/O STEWART INFORMATION SERVICES CORP., 1360 POST OAK BLVD., SUITE 100 MC-14-1, HOUSTON TX 77056
Bahram Meyssami officer: Chief Technology Officer C/O GSE SYSTEMS, INC., 1332 LON, SYKESVILLE MD 21784
Emmett Anthony Pepe officer: Chief Financial Officer 1515 JUDD COURT, HERNDON VA 20170
Donald Horn officer: President, GSE Engineering GSE SYSTEMS INC, 6940 COLUMBIA GATEWAY DRIVE, SUITE 470, COLUMBIA MD 21046-3308
Daniel Warren Pugh officer: Chief Legal and Risk Officer C/O GSE SYSTEMS, INC., 1332 LONDONTOWN BLVD., SYKESVILLE MD 21784
Ravi Khanna officer: SVP Professional Services GSE SYSTEMS, INC., 1332 LONDONTOWN BLVD, SYKESVILLE MD 21784
Kyle Justin Loudermilk director, officer: President & CEO 3525 WOODBINE STREET, CHEVY CHASE MD 20815
Brian Greene officer: VP, GSE Workforce Solutions GSE SYSTEMS INC, 1332 LONDONTOWN BLVD, SYKESVILLE MD 21784
Ngp Energy Technology Partners Ii, L.p. 10 percent owner 1700 K STREET N.W., SUITE 750, WASHINGTON DC 20006
Energy Technology Partners, L.l.c. 10 percent owner 1700 K STREET NW, SUITE 750, WASHINGTON DC 20006
Philip J Deutch 10 percent owner PERSEUS 2000 LLC, 2099 PENNSYLVANIA AVUE NW STE 900, WASHINGTON DC 20006
Suresh Sundaram director C/O EXA CORPORATION, 55 NETWORK DRIVE, BURLINGTON MA 01803
Polar Asset Management Partners Inc. 10 percent owner 16 YORK STREET SUITE 2900, TORONTO A6 M5J 0E6