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Pall (FRA:PA5) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : €77.05 (As of May. 04, 2024)


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What is Pall Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-05-04), Pall's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is €77.05.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Pall's Predictability Rank is 4.5-Stars.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Pall is -45.61%.

The industry rank for Pall's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:PA5's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked
in the Industrial Products industry.
Industry Median: 1.26 vs FRA:PA5: 1.43

Pall Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Pall's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Pall Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Pall Annual Data
Trend Jul05 Jul06 Jul07 Jul08 Jul09 Jul10 Jul11 Jul12 Jul13 Jul14
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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Pall Quarterly Data
Jul10 Oct10 Jan11 Apr11 Jul11 Oct11 Jan12 Apr12 Jul12 Oct12 Jan13 Apr13 Jul13 Oct13 Jan14 Apr14 Jul14 Oct14 Jan15 Apr15
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Pall's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, Pall's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Pall's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Pall's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Pall's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



Pall Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.50%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 15.00%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Pall's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 15.00%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 15.00%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = €3.448.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Pall's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.15)/(1+0.11) = 1.036036036036
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=3.448*22.3453
=77.05

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(77.05-112.19)/77.05
=-45.61 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Pall  (FRA:PA5) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Pall Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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Pall (FRA:PA5) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
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Address
Pall Corporation is a New York corporation incorporated on July 31, 1946. The Company supplies filtration, separation and purification technologies. Its products are used to remove solid, liquid and gaseous contaminants from a variety of liquids and gases. Its serves its customers through two businesses: Life Sciences and Industrial. The Life Sciences business group is engaged in developing, manufacturing and selling products to customers in the BioPharmaceutical, Food & Beverage and Medical markets. The Industrial business group is engaged in developing, manufacturing and selling products to customers in the Process Technologies, Aerospace and Microelectronics markets. The Life Sciences technologies facilitate the process of drug discovery, development, regulatory validation and production, and are used in research laboratories, and the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industries. It also supplies products and technologies for food and beverage industries and in hospitals at the point of patient care. The Industrial segment provides enabling and process-enhancing technologies throughout the industrial marketplace. These include the Process Technologies, Aerospace and Microelectronics markets. It has the capability to provide customers with integrated solutions using its proprietary consumable filtration products for their process fluids. The Company's competition varies by product and application. Its competitors in the BioPharmaceuticals market include Merck Millipore (a division of Merck KGaA), The Sartorius Group and GE Healthcare (a unit of General Electric Company ("GE")). Its competitors in the Food & Beverage market include 3M Purification, Pentair, Inc., Filtrox Group, The Sartorius Group, Eaton Corporation and Parker Domnick Hunter (a division of Parker Hannifin). Its competitors in the Medical market include Merck Millipore, GE Healthcare, Teleflex Incorporated, Covidien plc and Intersurgical, Ltd. Its competitors in the Process Technologies market include CLARCOR Inc., Donaldson Company, Inc., Parker Hannifin Corporation, HYDAC International GmbH, GE Infrastructure (a unit of GE), Pentair, Inc., 3M Purification, U.S. Filter (a unit of Siemens AG) and ESCO Technologies Inc. Its competitors in the Aerospace market include Donaldson Company, Inc. and ESCO Technologies Inc. Its competitors in the Microelectronics market include Entegris, Inc., Parker Hannifin Corporation and Mott Corporation. The Company is subject to competition in all of the global markets in which it operates.

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