GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Retail - Cyclical » CST Brands Inc (NYSE:CST) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

CST Brands (CST Brands) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $0.00 (As of May. 05, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2013. Start your Free Trial

What is CST Brands Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-05-05), CST Brands's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $0.00.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

CST Brands's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for CST Brands is N/A%.

The industry rank for CST Brands's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

CST's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Retail - Cyclical industry.
Industry Median: 0.735
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

CST Brands Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for CST Brands's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

CST Brands Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

CST Brands Annual Data
Trend Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - - -

CST Brands Quarterly Data
Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of CST Brands's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, CST Brands's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


CST Brands's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, CST Brands's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where CST Brands's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



CST Brands Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.50%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> CST Brands's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $0.000.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

CST Brands's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.000*11.5406
=0.00

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(0-48.53)/0
=N/A %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


CST Brands  (NYSE:CST) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


CST Brands Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of CST Brands's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


CST Brands (CST Brands) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
CST Brands Inc is a holding company. It is an independent retailer of motor fuel and convenience merchandise in the United States and eastern Canada. Its retail operations include the sale of motor fuel at retail sites, commission sites and cardlocks, the sale of food, convenience merchandise items and services at retail sites, and the sale of heating oil to residential customers and heating oil and motor fuel to small commercial customers in Canada. The company has three operating segments, U.S. Retail, Canadian Retail and CrossAmerica.
Executives
David Hrinak officer: Vice President Operations 23 KNOLL ROAD, COATESVILLE PA 19320
Clayton E Killinger officer: Executive VP and CFO 1811 AKSARBEN DRIVE, OMAHA NE 68106
Joseph E Reece director ONE VALERO WAY, BUILDING D, SUITE 200, SAN ANTONIO TX 78249
Steven Stellato officer: VP and Controller 645 HAMILTON STREET, SUITE 500, ALLENTOWN PA 18101
Alex Miller director 1130 WEST WARNER, TEMPE AZ 85284
Evan Walker Smith officer: Vice President and CFO 3426 HUNTERS CIRCLE, SAN ANTONIO TX 78320
Michael H Wargotz director AXCESS WORLDWIDE, 515 MADISON AVE., 15TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Thomas W Dickson director 301 S TRYON STREET, SUITE 1800, CHARLOTTE NC 28282
Gerard J Sonnier officer: SVP, GC and Secretary 2800 POST OAK BLVD., STE. 2600, HOUSTON TX 77056
Jean Bernier director P.O. BOX 696000, SAN ANTONIO TX 78269-6000
Kimberly S Lubel director, officer: President and CEO P.O. BOX 696000, SAN ANTONIO TX 78269-6000
Ruben M Escobedo director P.O. BOX 696000, SAN ANTONIO TX 78269-6000
Donna M Boles director 17 MILLSTONE COURT, MORRISTOWN NJ 07960
Rocky Dewbre director 46 FLORHAM PARK DR., SPRING TX 77379
Topper Joseph V. Jr. director 702 WEST HAMILTON STREET, SUITE 203, ALLENTOWN PA 18101

CST Brands (CST Brands) Headlines

From GuruFocus

Gabelli Asset Management Comments on CST Brands

By Holly LaFon 05-13-2014

Gabelli Asset Management Comments on CST Brands

By Holly LaFon 05-13-2014

CST Brands – Value in the Corner

By MritikCapital MritikCapital 05-15-2013

Third Avenue Management Comments on CST Brands

By Holly LaFon Holly LaFon 09-12-2013

Mario Gabelli Comments on CST Brands Inc.

By Holly LaFon 02-19-2014