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CST Brands (CST Brands) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $41.86 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is CST Brands Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-05-05), CST Brands's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $41.86.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

CST Brands's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for CST Brands is -15.93%.

The historical rank and industry rank for CST Brands's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

CST's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Retail - Cyclical industry.
Industry Median: 0.8
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

CST Brands Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for CST Brands's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

CST Brands Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

CST Brands Annual Data
Trend Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
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CST Brands Quarterly Data
Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of CST Brands's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, CST Brands's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


CST Brands's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, CST Brands's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where CST Brands's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



CST Brands Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.50%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> CST Brands's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $3.627.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

CST Brands's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=3.627*11.5406
=41.86

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (41.86 - 48.53) / 41.86
= -15.93 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


CST Brands  (NYSE:CST) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


CST Brands Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of CST Brands's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


CST Brands (CST Brands) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
CST Brands Inc is a holding company. It is an independent retailer of motor fuel and convenience merchandise in the United States and eastern Canada. Its retail operations include the sale of motor fuel at retail sites, commission sites and cardlocks, the sale of food, convenience merchandise items and services at retail sites, and the sale of heating oil to residential customers and heating oil and motor fuel to small commercial customers in Canada. The company has three operating segments, U.S. Retail, Canadian Retail and CrossAmerica.
Executives
David Hrinak officer: Vice President Operations 23 KNOLL ROAD, COATESVILLE PA 19320
Clayton E Killinger officer: Executive VP and CFO 1811 AKSARBEN DRIVE, OMAHA NE 68106
Joseph E Reece director ONE VALERO WAY, BUILDING D, SUITE 200, SAN ANTONIO TX 78249
Steven Stellato officer: VP and Controller 645 HAMILTON STREET, SUITE 500, ALLENTOWN PA 18101
Alex Miller director 1130 WEST WARNER, TEMPE AZ 85284
Evan Walker Smith officer: Vice President and CFO 3426 HUNTERS CIRCLE, SAN ANTONIO TX 78320
Michael H Wargotz director AXCESS WORLDWIDE, 515 MADISON AVE., 15TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Thomas W Dickson director 301 S TRYON STREET, SUITE 1800, CHARLOTTE NC 28282
Gerard J Sonnier officer: SVP, GC and Secretary 2800 POST OAK BLVD., STE. 2600, HOUSTON TX 77056
Jean Bernier director P.O. BOX 696000, SAN ANTONIO TX 78269-6000
Kimberly S Lubel director, officer: President and CEO P.O. BOX 696000, SAN ANTONIO TX 78269-6000
Ruben M Escobedo director P.O. BOX 696000, SAN ANTONIO TX 78269-6000
Donna M Boles director 17 MILLSTONE COURT, MORRISTOWN NJ 07960
Rocky Dewbre director 46 FLORHAM PARK DR., SPRING TX 77379
Topper Joseph V. Jr. director 702 WEST HAMILTON STREET, SUITE 203, ALLENTOWN PA 18101

CST Brands (CST Brands) Headlines

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