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Silver Bay Realty Trust (Silver Bay Realty Trust) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) : $-0.81 (As of May. 06, 2024)


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What is Silver Bay Realty Trust Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)?

As of today (2024-05-06), Silver Bay Realty Trust's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $-0.81.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Silver Bay Realty Trust's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Silver Bay Realty Trust is N/A.

The historical rank and industry rank for Silver Bay Realty Trust's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

SBY's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is not ranked *
in the REITs industry.
Industry Median: 1.38
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) only.

Silver Bay Realty Trust Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Silver Bay Realty Trust's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Silver Bay Realty Trust Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Chart

Silver Bay Realty Trust Annual Data
Trend Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
- - - - -

Silver Bay Realty Trust Quarterly Data
Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Silver Bay Realty Trust's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

For the REIT - Residential subindustry, Silver Bay Realty Trust's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Silver Bay Realty Trust's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Silver Bay Realty Trust's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Silver Bay Realty Trust's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.



Silver Bay Realty Trust Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.49%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Silver Bay Realty Trust's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $-0.070.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Silver Bay Realty Trust's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=EPS without NRI*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-0.070*11.5406
=-0.81

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(-0.81-21.49)/-0.81
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Silver Bay Realty Trust  (NYSE:SBY) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Silver Bay Realty Trust Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

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Silver Bay Realty Trust (Silver Bay Realty Trust) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Silver Bay Realty Trust Corp was incorporated in Maryland in June 2012. The Company is engaged in acquisition, renovation, leasing, and management of single-family properties in select markets in the United States. As of December 31, 2013, the company owned 5,642 single-family properties in Arizona, California, Florida, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Ohio, and Texas, excluding properties held for sale. The Company conducts its business and owns all of its properties through Silver Bay Operating Partnership L.P., or the Operating Partnership, a Delaware limited partnership. acquire single-family properties through a variety of acquisition channels, including brokers, multiple listing services, short sales, foreclosure auctions, online auctions, and bulk purchases from institutions or investor groups. The Company face competition from individual investors, private pools of capital and other institutional buyers which may increase the prices for properties that they would like to purchase and reduce its ability to achieve its desired portfolio size or expected yields. They also compete for desirable residents against the same entities as well as multifamily lessors. The Company's properties are subject to various covenants, laws, and ordinances, and certain of its properties are also subject to the rules of the various homeowners' associations where such properties are located.
Executives
Tanuja M Dehne director C/O SILVER BAY REALTY TRUST CORP., 601 CARLSON PARKWAY, SUITE 250, MINNETONKA MN 55305
William Reid Sanders director C/O TWO HARBORS INVESTMENT CORP., 1601 UTICA AVENUE SOUTH, SUITE 900, ST. LOUIS PARK MN 55416
Thomas W Brock director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 1290 BROADWAY, SUITE 1100, DENVER CO 80203
Stephen G Kasnet director 1601 UTICA AVENUE SOUTH, SUITE 900, ST. LOUIS PARK MN 55416
Thomas Siering director TWO HARBORS INVESTMENT CORP., 601 CARLSON PARKWAY, SUITE 1400, MINNETONKA MN 55305
Daryl J Carter director CAPRI CAPITAL LP, 18301 VON KARMAN AVE STE 750, IRVIN CA 92612
Christine Battist officer: Chief Financial Officer 601 CARLSON PARKWAY, SUITE 250, MINNETONKA MN 55305
Brian Taylor director C/O PINE RIVER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, 601 CARLSON PARKWAY, 7TH FLOOR, MINNETONKA MN 55305
Obrien Timothy W J officer: Secretary TWO HARBORS INVESTMENT CORP., 601 CARLSON PARKWAY, SUITE 330, MINNETONKA MN 55305
William W Johnson director TWO HARBORS INVESTMENT CORP., 601 CARLSON PARKWAY, SUITE 1400, MINNETONKA MN 55305
Two Harbors Investment Corp. 10 percent owner 1601 UTICA AVENUE SOUTH, SUITE 900, ST. LOUIS PARK MN 55416
Two Harbors Operating Co Llc 10 percent owner 601 CARLSON PARKWAY, SUITE 1400, MINNETONKA MN 55305
Pine River Capital Management Llc 10 percent owner 601 CARLSON PARKWAY, 7TH FLOOR, MINNETONKA MN 55305

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