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St Jude Medical (St Jude Medical) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $23.68 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is St Jude Medical Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-05-05), St Jude Medical's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $23.68.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

St Jude Medical's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for St Jude Medical is -241.30%.

The historical rank and industry rank for St Jude Medical's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

STJ's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Medical Devices & Instruments industry.
Industry Median: 1.55
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

St Jude Medical Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for St Jude Medical's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

St Jude Medical Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

St Jude Medical Annual Data
Trend Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
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St Jude Medical Quarterly Data
Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of St Jude Medical's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Medical Devices subindustry, St Jude Medical's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


St Jude Medical's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Medical Devices & Instruments Industry

For the Medical Devices & Instruments industry and Healthcare sector, St Jude Medical's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where St Jude Medical's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



St Jude Medical Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.50%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> St Jude Medical's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $2.052.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

St Jude Medical's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=2.052*11.5406
=23.68

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (23.68 - 80.82) / 23.68
= -241.30 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


St Jude Medical  (NYSE:STJ) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


St Jude Medical Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

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St Jude Medical (St Jude Medical) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
St Jude Medical Inc was incorporated in Minnesota in 1976. It develops, manufactures and distributes cardiovascular medical devices for the cardiac rhythm management, cardiovascular and atrial fibrillation therapy areas and neurostimulation medical devices for the management of chronic pain. The Company's two segments are the Implantable Electronic Systems Division and the Cardiovascular and Ablation Technologies Division. The Company's principal products in each business unit are as follows: Implantable Electronic Systems Division (IESD) - tachycardia implantable cardioverter defibrillator systems (ICDs), bradycardia pacemaker systems (pacemakers) and neurostimulation products (spinal cord and deep brain stimulation devices); and Cardiovascular and Ablation Technologies Division (CATD) - vascular products (vascular closure products, pressure measurement guidewires, optical coherence tomography (OCT) imaging products, vascular plugs and other vascular accessories), structural heart products (heart valve replacement and repair products and structural heart defect devices) and atrial fibrillation (AF) products (electrophysiology (EP) introducers and catheters, cardiac mapping, navigation and recording systems and ablation systems). Implantable Electronic Systems Division (IESD): IESD is focused on the cardiac rhythm management and neuromodulation therapy areas. Cardiac rhythm management devices include ICDs that provide life-saving therapy to patients suffering from lethal heart conditions, such as sudden cardiac arrest; cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) devices to save and improve the lives of patients suffering from heart failure (HF); pacemakers to help patients whose hearts beat too slowly or who suffer from other debilitating cardiac arrhythmias; leads (wires that connect devices to the heart) to carry electrical impulses to the heart and provide information from the heart to the device; and programmers and remote monitoring equipment which are used by physicians and healthcare professionals to program is cardiac rhythm management devices and analyze device data to improve patient management. Neuromodulation product offerings provide neurostimulation treatment in which an implantable device delivers electrical current directly to targeted nerve sites. The Company's commercialized neurostimulation therapies include spinal cord stimulation (SCS) for the treatment of chronic pain, deep brain stimulation (DBS) for treating the symptoms of Parkinson's disease and peripheral nerve stimulation (PNS) for the treatment of chronic migraine headache. A neurostimulation system typically consists of four components: a pulse generator that produces the electrical current and is implanted under the patient's skin; implanted leads that carry the electrical impulses to the targeted nerve sites; an external patient remote control that enables the patient to control his or her therapy within prescribed ranges; and an external clinician pro
Executives
Jeff Fecho officer: VP, Global Quality ONE ST. JUDE MEDICAL DRIVE ST. PAUL MN 55117
Philip Ebeling officer: VP, Chief Technology Officer INSPIRE MEDICAL SYSTEMS, INC., 5500 WAYZATA BLVD., SUITE 1600, GOLDEN VALLEY MN 55416
Donald Zurbay officer: VP Finance and CFO C/O ST. JUDE MEDICAL, INC., ONE ST JUDE MEDICAL DRIVE, ST. PAUL MN 55117
Michael A Rocca director C/O LIGAND PHARMACEUTICALS INCORPORATED, 10275 SCIENCE CENTER DRIVE, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Barbara B Hill director
Wendy L Yarno director
Stuart Essig director 311 C ENTERPRISE DRIVE, PLAINSBORO NJ 08536
John C Heinmiller officer: Executive Vice President ONE ST JUDE MEDICAL DRIVE, ST. PAUL MN 55117
John W Brown director STRYKER CORP, 2725 FAIRFIELD ROAD, KALAMAZOO MI 49002
David C Dvorak director C/O ZIMMER INC, PO BOX 708, WARSAW IN 46580
Michael T Rousseau director, officer: Director, President and CEO ONE ST JUDE MEDICAL DRIVE, ST. PAUL MN 55117
Eric S Fain officer: Group President ONE ST JUDE MEDICAL DRIVE, ST. PAUL MN MN
Daniel J Starks director ONE ST JUDE MEDICAL DRIVE, ST PAUL MN 55117
Joel Becker officer: President, Americas ONE ST. JUDE MEDICAL DRIVE, ST. PAUL MN 55418
Rohan Hoare officer: President - NMD 100 CYBERONICS BLVD, HOUSTON TX 77058