Sears Hometown and Outlet Stores (Sears Hometown and Outlet Stores) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $ (As of May. 06, 2024)

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What is Sears Hometown and Outlet Stores Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-05-06), Sears Hometown and Outlet Stores's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Sears Hometown and Outlet Stores's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Sears Hometown and Outlet Stores is

The historical rank and industry rank for Sears Hometown and Outlet Stores's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

SHOS's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked ^*
in the Retail - Cyclical industry.
Industry Median: 0.8
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Sears Hometown and Outlet Stores Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Sears Hometown and Outlet Stores's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Sears Hometown and Outlet Stores Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Sears Hometown and Outlet Stores Annual Data

Trend

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Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

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Sears Hometown and Outlet Stores Quarterly Data
	Oct14	Jan15	Apr15	Jul15	Oct15	Jan16	Apr16	Jul16	Oct16	Jan17	Apr17	Jul17	Oct17	Jan18	Apr18	Jul18	Oct18	Jan19	Apr19	Jul19
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															-	-	-	-	-

Competitive Comparison of Sears Hometown and Outlet Stores's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Department Stores subindustry, Sears Hometown and Outlet Stores's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Sears Hometown and Outlet Stores's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Sears Hometown and Outlet Stores's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sears Hometown and Outlet Stores's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.

Sears Hometown and Outlet Stores Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.48%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = %
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Sears Hometown and Outlet Stores's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	=	Dividends per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Dividends per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Dividends per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
	=	(	-	3.40)	/

Sears Hometown and Outlet Stores (NAS:SHOS) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

Sears Hometown and Outlet Stores Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

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Sears Hometown and Outlet Stores (Sears Hometown and Outlet Stores) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Retail - Cyclical » Sears Hometown and Outlet Stores Inc (NAS:SHOS) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

5500 Trillium Boulevard, Suite 501, Hoffman Estates, IL, USA, 60192

Website

http://www.shos.com

Sears Hometown and Outlet Stores Inc is a national retailer engaged in the selling of home appliances, lawn and garden equipment, and hardware at its stores and on its websites. It also offers its customers the opportunity to acquire home appliance, lawn and garden, fitness, bedding, and other categories of merchandise and product protection agreements through the lease-to-own program that it operates by agreement with a third party. Its business segments are the Sears Hometown and Hardware, and the Sears Outlet.

Executives

William K Phelan	director	3333 BEVERLY ROAD HOFFMAN ESTATES IL 60179
James F Gooch	director	C/O 5500 TRILLIUM BOULEVARD, SUITE 501, HOFFMAN ESTATES IL 60192
Josephine Linden	director	6601 SOUTH BERMUDA ROAD, LAS VEGAS NV 89119
Esl Partners Lp	10 percent owner	1170 KANE CONCOURSE, SUITE 200, BAY HARBOR FL 33154
Esl Investments Inc	10 percent owner	1170 KANE CONCOURSE, SUITE 200, BAY HARBOR ISLANDS FL 33154
Edward S Lampert	10 percent owner	1170 KANE CONCOURSE, SUITE 200, BAY HARBOUR FL 33154
Rbs Partners L P /ct	10 percent owner	1170 KANE CONCOURSE, SUITE 200, BAY HARBOR ISLANDS FL 33154
Ryan D Robinson	officer: Senior VP and CFO/CAO	5500 TRILLIUM BOULEVARD, SUITE 501, HOFFMAN ESTATES IL 60192
Rbs Investment Management Llc	10 percent owner	1170 KANE CONCOURSE, SUITE 200, BAY HARBOR FL 33154
Esl Institutional Partners Lp	10 percent owner	1170 KANE CONCOURSE, SUITE 200, BAY HARBOR FL 33154
Crk Partners Llc	10 percent owner	1170 KANE CONCOURSE, SUITE 200, BAY HARBOR ISLANDS FL 33154
Spe Master I, L.p.	10 percent owner	1170 KANE CONCOURSE, SUITE 200, BAY HARBOR FL 33154
Spe I Partners, L.p.	10 percent owner	1170 KANE CONCOURSE, SUITE 200, BAY HARBOR FL 33154
Jeffrey Flug	director	C/O PENNANTPARK INVESTMENT CORPORATION, 445 PARK AVENUE, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
William R Harker	director	5500 TRILLIUM BOULEVARD, SUITE 501, HOFFMAN ESTATES IL 60192