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Electro Scientific Industries (Electro Scientific Industries) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $ (As of May. 06, 2024)


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What is Electro Scientific Industries Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-05-06), Electro Scientific Industries's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Electro Scientific Industries's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Electro Scientific Industries is

The historical rank and industry rank for Electro Scientific Industries's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

ESIO's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Semiconductors industry.
Industry Median: 1.3
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Electro Scientific Industries Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Electro Scientific Industries's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Electro Scientific Industries Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Electro Scientific Industries Annual Data
Trend Mar09 Mar10 Mar11 Mar12 Mar13 Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
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Electro Scientific Industries Quarterly Data
Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Electro Scientific Industries's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Semiconductors subindustry, Electro Scientific Industries's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Electro Scientific Industries's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Semiconductors Industry

For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, Electro Scientific Industries's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Electro Scientific Industries's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



Electro Scientific Industries Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.47%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = %
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Electro Scientific Industries's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=*
=

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= ( - 29.99) /

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Electro Scientific Industries  (NAS:ESIO) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Electro Scientific Industries Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Electro Scientific Industries's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Electro Scientific Industries (Electro Scientific Industries) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Electro Scientific Industries Inc is a manufacturer of electronic components. The company operates through two segments: Component Processing and Micromachining. The Component Processing segment includes interconnect products, semiconductor products, and component products. The interconnect, semiconductor and component products are sold to manufacturers of electronic components and are used to drill, cut, trim, ablate and test and mark features for the functionality of the component. The Micromachining segment includes products that are sold to manufacturers of end devices across various industries and are used to drill, cut or mark features on a range of materials, generally on the casing or external surface of the end device.
Executives
Raymond A Link director C/O FORMFACTOR, INC., 7005 SOUTHFRONT ROAD, LIVERMORE CA 94551
Michael D Burger officer: PRESIDENT AND CEO 250 TECHNOLOGY PARK, LAKE MARY FL 32746
Allen L. Muhich officer: CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER 250 TECHNOLOGY PARK, LAKE MARY FL 32746
Lynne J Camp director 714 NW 914TH TERRACE, PORTLAND OR 97229
Paul R Oldham officer: CFO, Sr. VP of Finance 1625 SHARP POINT DRIVE, FORT COLLINS CO 80525
John K Medica director C/O NATIONAL INSTRUMENTS CORPORATION, 11500 NORTH MOPAC EXPWY, BLDG C, AUSTIN TX 78759
Edward C Grady director, officer: President & CEO
Richard J Faubert director 14242 S CANYON DR, PHOENIX AZ 85048
Jon D Tompkins director 17075 THORNMINT COURT, SAN DIEGO CA 92127
D3 Family Fund Lp director, 10 percent owner 19605 NE 8TH STREET CAMAS WA 98607
Nierenberg Investment Management Co director 19605 NE 8TH ST, CAMAS WA 98607
David Nierenberg director, 10 percent owner 19605 NE 8TH STREET, CAMAS WA 98607
Nierenberg Investment Management Offshore Inc 10 percent owner 19605 NE 8TH STREET CAMAS WA 98607
D3 Family Canadian Fund, L.p. 10 percent owner 19605 NE 8TH STREET, CAMAS WA 98607
D3 Offshore Fund Lp 10 percent owner 19605 NE 8TH ST CAMAS WA 98607