Ascent Capital Group (Ascent Capital Group) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $ (As of May. 05, 2024)

View and export this data going back to 2008. Start your Free Trial

What is Ascent Capital Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-05-05), Ascent Capital Group's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Ascent Capital Group's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Ascent Capital Group is

The historical rank and industry rank for Ascent Capital Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

ASCMA's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked ^*
in the Business Services industry.
Industry Median: 0.83
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Ascent Capital Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ascent Capital Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ascent Capital Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Ascent Capital Group Annual Data

Trend

Dec09

Dec10

Dec11

Dec12

Dec13

Dec14

Dec15

Dec16

Dec17

Dec18

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Get a 7-Day Free Trial

Ascent Capital Group Quarterly Data
	Sep14	Dec14	Mar15	Jun15	Sep15	Dec15	Mar16	Jun16	Sep16	Dec16	Mar17	Jun17	Sep17	Dec17	Mar18	Jun18	Sep18	Dec18	Mar19	Jun19
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															-	-	-	-	-

Competitive Comparison of Ascent Capital Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Security & Protection Services subindustry, Ascent Capital Group's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Ascent Capital Group's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Ascent Capital Group's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ascent Capital Group's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.

Ascent Capital Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.50%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = %
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Ascent Capital Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	=	Dividends per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Dividends per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Dividends per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
	=	(	-	0.818)	/

Ascent Capital Group (OTCPK:ASCMA) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

Ascent Capital Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Ascent Capital Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Ascent Capital Group (Ascent Capital Group) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Business Services » Ascent Capital Group Inc (OTCPK:ASCMA) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

5251 DTC Parkway, Suite 1000, Greenwood Village, CO, USA, 80111

Website

http://www.ascentcapitalgroupinc.com

Ascent Capital Group Inc is a provider of security systems and security monitoring services. The company operates two segments: monitronics and livewatch. Monitronics offers security alarm services, including monitoring signals arising from burglaries, fires, and medical alerts, and provides customer services and technical support. The company outsources the installation and most field services to its dealers and focuses on fees charged under alarm-monitoring contracts. Livewatch is a do-it-yourself home security provider that generates revenue through the sale of equipment and monitoring contracts. The company operates in the United States of America and Canada.

Executives

Thomas Patrick Mcmillin	director	C/O WIDEOPENWEST, INC., 7887 EAST BELLEVIEW AVENUE, SUITE 1000, ENGLEWOOD CO 80111
John C Malone	10 percent owner	12300 LIBERTY BLVD, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Jeffery R Gardner	director, officer: Executive Vice President	ONE ALLIED DRIVE, LITTLE ROCK AR 72202
William R Fitzgerald	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman	2431 EAST 61ST STREET STE 800, TULSA OK 74136
Charles Y Tanabe	director	123 LIBERTY BLVD, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Brigade Capital Management, Lp	10 percent owner	399 PARK AVENUE, 16TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Brigade Capital Management Gp, Llc	10 percent owner	399 PARK AVENUE, 16TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Morgan Donald E Iii	10 percent owner	C/O BRIGADE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC, 717 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 1301, NEW YORK NY 10022
Brigade Leveraged Capital Structures Fund Ltd.	10 percent owner	ONE NEXUS WAY, CAMANA BAY, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-9005
Ahmet H Okumus	10 percent owner	C/O OKUMUS FUND MANAGEMENT LTD., 767 THIRD AVENUE, 35TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Okumus Fund Management Ltd.	10 percent owner	767 THIRD AVENUE, 35TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Okumus Opportunistic Value Fund Ltd.	10 percent owner	CRAIGMUIR CHAMBERS, SUITE 71, ROAD TOWN, TORTOLA D8 VG 1110
Carl E Vogel	director	C/O SIRIUS XM RADIO INC., 1221 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10020
Brian Deevy	director	C/O TICKETMASTER, 8800 WEST SUNSET BLVD., WEST HOLLYWOOD CA 90069
Richard Walker	officer: Executive Vice President	C/O SERVICESOURCE INTERNATIONAL, INC., 717 17TH STREET, 5TH FLOOR, DENVER CO 80202