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Empire District Electric Co (Empire District Electric Co) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-32.49 (As of Sep16)


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What is Empire District Electric Co Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Sep16, Empire District Electric Co's earnings power value is $-32.49. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Empire District Electric Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Empire District Electric Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Empire District Electric Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Empire District Electric Co Annual Data
Trend Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -32.02 -28.89 -26.89 -31.45 -32.86

Empire District Electric Co Quarterly Data
Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -32.02 -32.86 -33.33 -33.80 -32.49

Competitive Comparison of Empire District Electric Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Utilities - Regulated Electric subindustry, Empire District Electric Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Empire District Electric Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Empire District Electric Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Empire District Electric Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Empire District Electric Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Empire District Electric Co's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 601.6
DDA 79.2
Operating Margin % 16.57
SGA * 25% 3.2
Tax Rate % 3.86
Maintenance Capex 153.2
Cash and Cash Equivalents 7.9
Short-Term Debt 25.3
Long-Term Debt 829.6
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 44.1

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 16.57%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $601.6 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 16.57%, Average Adjusted SGA = 3.2,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 601.6 * 16.57% +3.2 = $102.8583369 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 3.86%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $102.8583369 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 102.8583369 * ( 1 - 3.86% ) = $98.88800509566 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 79.2 * 0.5 * 3.86% = $1.52813926 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 98.88800509566 + 1.52813926 = $100.41614435566 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Empire District Electric Co's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $153.2 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Empire District Electric Co's current cash and cash equivalent = $7.9 Mil.
Empire District Electric Co's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 829.6 + 25.3 = $854.938 Mil.
Empire District Electric Co's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 44.1 Mil.

Empire District Electric Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep16 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 100.41614435566 - 153.2)/ 9%+7.9-854.938 )/44.1
=-32.49

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -32.491468947117-34.09 )/-32.491468947117
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Empire District Electric Co  (NYSE:EDE) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Empire District Electric Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Empire District Electric Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Empire District Electric Co (Empire District Electric Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Empire District Electric Co is a Kansas corporation organized in 1909. The Company is an operating public utility engaged in the generation, purchase, transmission, distribution and sale of electricity in parts of Missouri, Kansas, Oklahoma and Arkansas. The Company operates its businesses as three segments; Electric, Gas and Other. The Company also provides water service to three towns in Missouri. The Company, along with its subsidiary The Empire District Gas Company, is engaged in the distribution of natural gas in Missouri. The Other segment consists of fiber optics business. As of December 31, 2013 the Company's electric operations serve approximately 168,800 customers and gas operations serve approximately 44,000 customers. The territory served by electric operations embraces an area of about 10,000 square miles, located principally in southwestern Missouri, and also includes smaller areas in southeastern Kansas, northeastern Oklahoma and northwestern Arkansas. The Company supplies electric service at retail to 119 incorporated communities as of December 31, 2013, and to various unincorporated areas and at wholesale to four municipally owned distribution systems. The Company operates under franchises having original terms of twenty years or longer in the incorporated communities. The three largest classes of on-system customers are residential, commercial and industrial. The largest single on-system wholesale customer is the city of Monett, Missouri. The Company currently supplements its on-system generating capacity with purchases of capacity and energy from other sources in order to meet the demands of its customers and the capacity margins applicable under current pooling agreements and National Electric Reliability Council rules. The generating facilities consist of three coal-fired generating plants, two natural gas generating plants and one hydroelectric generating plant. The Company's gas operations serve customers in northwest, north central and west central Missouri. As of December 31, 2013, gas operations served approximately 44,000 customers. The Company provides natural gas distribution to 48 communities and 377 transportation customers as of December 31, 2013. At December 31, 2013 the principal gas utility properties of the Company consisted of approximately 87 miles of transmission mains and approximately 1,160 miles of distribution mains. The three pipelines that serve the Company's gas customers are Southern Star Central Gas Pipeline, Panhandle Eastern Pipe Line Company and ANR Pipeline Company. The Company is subject to the jurisdiction of the Missouri Public Service Commission (MPSC), the State Corporation Commission of the State of Kansas (KCC), the Corporation Commission of Oklahoma (OCC) and the Arkansas Public Service Commission (APSC) with respect to services and facilities, rates and charges, regulatory accounting, valuation of property, depreciation and various other matters.
Executives
Herbert J Schmidt director 1950 LAKE RIDGE DRIVE, THE VILLAGES FL 32162
Ross C Hartley director P O BOX 477 TENTON VILLAGE WY 83025
Thomas M Ohlmacher director P O BOX 1400, RAPID CITY SD 57709-1400
Bonnie Cruickshank Lind director 3460 PRESTON RIDGE ROAD, ALPHARETTA GA 30005
Francis E Jeffries director 800 SCUDDERS HILL ROAD, PLAINSBORO NJ 08536