What is Empire District Electric Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Empire District Electric Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Competitive Comparison of Empire District Electric Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%)
For the Utilities - Regulated Electric subindustry, Empire District Electric Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Empire District Electric Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Utilities - Regulated Industry
For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Empire District Electric Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Empire District Electric Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Empire District Electric Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
| LPFD | = | -20.12 * NIMTAAVG | + | 1.60 * TLMTA | - | 7.88 * EXRETAVG | + | 1.55 * SIGMA | - | 0.005 * RSIZE | - | 2.27 * CASHMTA | + | 0.070 * MB | - | 0.09 * PRICE | - | 8.87 |
| = | 0.00 |
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
| PFD | = | 1 | / | (1 + e^(-LPFD)) | * | 100% |
| = | 0.00% |
The eight explanatory variables are:
1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets
*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.
2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets
3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets
For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
6. RSIZE = Relative Size
| RSIZE | = | log (Market Cap | / | Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies) |
7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio
8. PRICE
PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).
Empire District Electric Co (Empire District Electric Co) Business Description
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Empire District Electric Co is a Kansas corporation organized in 1909. The Company is an operating public utility engaged in the generation, purchase, transmission, distribution and sale of electricity in parts of Missouri, Kansas, Oklahoma and Arkansas. The Company operates its businesses as three segments; Electric, Gas and Other. The Company also provides water service to three towns in Missouri. The Company, along with its subsidiary The Empire District Gas Company, is engaged in the distribution of natural gas in Missouri. The Other segment consists of fiber optics business. As of December 31, 2013 the Company's electric operations serve approximately 168,800 customers and gas operations serve approximately 44,000 customers. The territory served by electric operations embraces an area of about 10,000 square miles, located principally in southwestern Missouri, and also includes smaller areas in southeastern Kansas, northeastern Oklahoma and northwestern Arkansas. The Company supplies electric service at retail to 119 incorporated communities as of December 31, 2013, and to various unincorporated areas and at wholesale to four municipally owned distribution systems. The Company operates under franchises having original terms of twenty years or longer in the incorporated communities. The three largest classes of on-system customers are residential, commercial and industrial. The largest single on-system wholesale customer is the city of Monett, Missouri. The Company currently supplements its on-system generating capacity with purchases of capacity and energy from other sources in order to meet the demands of its customers and the capacity margins applicable under current pooling agreements and National Electric Reliability Council rules. The generating facilities consist of three coal-fired generating plants, two natural gas generating plants and one hydroelectric generating plant. The Company's gas operations serve customers in northwest, north central and west central Missouri. As of December 31, 2013, gas operations served approximately 44,000 customers. The Company provides natural gas distribution to 48 communities and 377 transportation customers as of December 31, 2013. At December 31, 2013 the principal gas utility properties of the Company consisted of approximately 87 miles of transmission mains and approximately 1,160 miles of distribution mains. The three pipelines that serve the Company's gas customers are Southern Star Central Gas Pipeline, Panhandle Eastern Pipe Line Company and ANR Pipeline Company. The Company is subject to the jurisdiction of the Missouri Public Service Commission (MPSC), the State Corporation Commission of the State of Kansas (KCC), the Corporation Commission of Oklahoma (OCC) and the Arkansas Public Service Commission (APSC) with respect to services and facilities, rates and charges, regulatory accounting, valuation of property, depreciation and various other matters.
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