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CervoMed (CervoMed) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $1.03 (As of Mar24)


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What is CervoMed Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar24, CervoMed's earnings power value is $1.03. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -1803.56

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


CervoMed Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for CervoMed's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

CervoMed Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

CervoMed Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 67.20 37.67 37.13 - -

CervoMed Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of CervoMed's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, CervoMed's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


CervoMed's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, CervoMed's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where CervoMed's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



CervoMed Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

CervoMed's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 0.00
DDA 0.06
Operating Margin % 0.00
SGA * 25% 1.64
Tax Rate % 1.45
Maintenance Capex 0.00
Cash and Cash Equivalents 6.37
Short-Term Debt 0.00
Long-Term Debt 0.00
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 6.17

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $0.00 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 1.64,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 0.00 * 0.00% +1.64 = $ Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 1.45%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $ Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = * ( 1 - 1.45% ) = $0 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 0.06 * 0.5 * 1.45% = $0.00039875 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0 + 0.00039875 = $0.00039875 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
CervoMed's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $0.00 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. CervoMed's current cash and cash equivalent = $6.37 Mil.
CervoMed's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 0.00 + 0.00 = $0 Mil.
CervoMed's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 6.17 Mil.

CervoMed's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 0.00039875 - 0.00)/ 9%+6.37-0 )/6.17
=1.03

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 1.0328035254506-19.66 )/1.0328035254506
= -1803.56%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


CervoMed  (NAS:CRVO) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


CervoMed Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of CervoMed's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


CervoMed (CervoMed) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
20 Park Plaza, Suite 424, Boston, MA, USA, 02216
CervoMed Inc Formerly Diffusion Pharmaceuticals Inc is a clinical-stage biotechnology company. It is focused on extending the life expectancy of cancer patients by improving the effectiveness of current standard-of-care treatments, including radiation therapy and chemotherapy. The company's product candidate is trans sodium crocetinate (TSC), which is used for the treatment of glioblastoma multiforme (GBM) and metastatic brain cancer. Geographically business activity of the firm functions through the region of the United States.
Executives
Frank Zavrl director C/O PUMA BIOTECHNOLOGY INC., 10880 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 2150, LOS ANGELES CA 90024
Sylvie Gregoire director, 10 percent owner 940 WINTER STREET, C/O PERKINELMER, WALTHAM MA 02451
John William Tanner officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O EIP PHARMA, INC., 20 PARK PLAZA, SUITE 424, BOSTON MA 02116
Kelly Blackburn officer: VP, Clinical Development C/O ATYR PHARMA, INC., 3545 JOHN HOPKINS COURT, SUITE 250, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Marwan Sabbagh director C/O CORTEXYME, INC., 269 EAST GRAND AVE., SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
John J Alam director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO and President 130 WAVERLY STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Jeffrey V. Poulton director 300 THIRD STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Jill Davidson director 300 EAST MAIN STREET, SUITE 101, CHARLOTTESVILLE VA 22902
Raven Jaeger officer: Chief Regulatory Officer 300 EAST MAIN STREET, SUITE 201, CHARLOTTESVILLE VA 22902
Eric Francois director C/O SCYNEXIS, INC., 3501 C TRICENTER BOULEVARD, DURHAM NC 27713
Diana M Lanchoney director 1317 CARLTON AVE, SUITE 200, CHARLOTTESVILLE VA 22902
William Robert Elder officer: GC & Secretary 1317 CARLTON AVENUE, SUITE 200, CHARLOTTESVILLE VA 22902
Cobuzzi Robert Joseph Jr. director C/O DIFFUSION PHARMACEUTICALS INC., 1317 CARLTON AVENUE, SUITE 200, CHARLOTTESVILLE VA 22902
Christopher D Galloway officer: Chief Medical Officer 1317 CARLTON AVENUE, SUITE 200, CHARLOTTESVILLE VA 22902
Jane H Hollingsworth director DIFFUSION PHARMACEUTICALS INC., 1317 CARLTON AVENUE, SUITE 200, CHARLOTTESVILLE VA 22902

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