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Cohen (COHN) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $201.54 (As of Mar24)


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What is Cohen Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar24, Cohen's earnings power value is $201.54. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is 94.08

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Cohen Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cohen's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Cohen Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Cohen Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -4,468.27 -4,465.77 -554.11 -2,626.42 738.14

Cohen Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -635.93 -2,429.56 -582.62 738.14 201.54

Competitive Comparison of Cohen's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Cohen's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cohen's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Cohen's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cohen's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Cohen Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Cohen's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 92.19
DDA 0.44
Operating Margin % 128.27
SGA * 25% 2.01
Tax Rate % 10.74
Maintenance Capex 0.47
Cash and Cash Equivalents 98.10
Short-Term Debt 0.00
Long-Term Debt 148.19
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 5.65

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 128.27%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $92.19 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 128.27%, Average Adjusted SGA = 2.01,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 92.19 * 128.27% +2.01 = $120.262847992 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 10.74%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $120.262847992 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 120.262847992 * ( 1 - 10.74% ) = $107.3442128607 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 0.44 * 0.5 * 10.74% = $0.023482012 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 107.3442128607 + 0.023482012 = $107.3676948727 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Cohen's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $0.47 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Cohen's current cash and cash equivalent = $98.10 Mil.
Cohen's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 148.19 + 0.00 = $148.185 Mil.
Cohen's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 5.65 Mil.

Cohen's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 107.3676948727 - 0.47)/ 9%+98.10-148.185 )/5.65
=201.54

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 201.53594109379-11.93 )/201.53594109379
= 94.08%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Cohen  (AMEX:COHN) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Cohen Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Cohen (COHN) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2929 Arch Street, Cira Centre, Suite 1703, Philadelphia, PA, USA, 19104-2870
Cohen & Co Inc is a United states company that delivers financial services in fixed income markets. It is focused on small-cap banking institutions and has grown to provide an expanding range of capital markets and asset management services. It has three business segments. The Capital Markets segment, which is the key revenue driver, consists of fixed income sales, trading, matched book repo financing, new issue placements in corporate and securitized products, and advisory services. The Asset Management segment manages assets within collateralized debt obligations, managed accounts, joint ventures, and investment funds. The Principal Investing segment is comprised of investments to earn return rather than to support trading, matched book repo, or other Capital Markets segment activities.
Executives
G Steven Dawson director CIRA CENTRE, 2929 ARCH STREET, 17TH FLOOR, PHILADELPHIA PA 19104-2870
Douglas Listman officer: Chief Accounting Officer 2929 ARCH STREET, 17TH FLOOR, PHILADELPHIA PA 19104-2870
Daniel G Cohen director, 10 percent owner, officer: Vice Chairman and CE Europe 712 FIFTH AVENUE, 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Lester Raymond Brafman officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O INSTITUTIONAL FINANCIAL MARKETS, INC, 2929 ARCH STREET, 17TH FLOOR, PHILADELPHIA PA 19104
Pooler Joseph W. Jr. officer: EVP, CFO and Treasurer 2929 ARCH STREET, 17TH FLOOR, PHILADELPHIA PA 19104-2870
Christopher Ricciardi director, other: Former10% Owner 51 SHELLBARK LANE, BRIARCLIFF MANOR NY 10510
Stephanie Ricciardi other: Former 10% Owner C/O MR. RICCIARDI COHEN & COMPANY INC., 135 EAST 57TH STREET, 21ST FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Neil S Subin director 2336 S.E. OCEAN BOULEVARD, #400, STUART FL 34996
Thomas Costello director CIRA CENTRE, 2929 ARCH STREET, 17TH FLOOR, PHILADELPHIA PA 19104-2870
James Mcentee director CIRA CENTRE, 2929 ARCH STREET, 17TH FLOOR, PHILADELPHIA PA 19104-2870
Diana Louise Liberto director C/O INSTITUTIONAL FINANCIAL MARKETS, INC, CIRA CENTER, 2929 ARCH STREET, 17TH FL., PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Jack Dimaio director C/O DIMAIO AHMAD CAPITAL LLC, 245 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10167
Mead Park Capital Partners Llc 10 percent owner 126 EAST 56TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10022
Edward E Cohen 10 percent owner RESOURCE AMERICA INC, 1845 WALNUT ST, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Ebc 2013 Family Trust 10 percent owner 2929 ARCH STREET, 17TH FLOOR, PHILADELPHIA PA 19104