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St Jude Medical (St Jude Medical) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 6.99% (As of Sep. 2016)


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What is St Jude Medical Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. St Jude Medical's forward rate of return for was 6.99%.

The historical rank and industry rank for St Jude Medical's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

STJ's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Medical Devices & Instruments industry.
Industry Median: 11.93
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


St Jude Medical Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for St Jude Medical's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

St Jude Medical Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

St Jude Medical Annual Data
Trend Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 20.72 19.06 13.51 5.74 8.13

St Jude Medical Quarterly Data
Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.61 8.13 8.45 6.92 6.99

Competitive Comparison of St Jude Medical's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Medical Devices subindustry, St Jude Medical's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


St Jude Medical's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Medical Devices & Instruments Industry

For the Medical Devices & Instruments industry and Healthcare sector, St Jude Medical's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where St Jude Medical's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



St Jude Medical Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

St Jude Medical's Forward Rate of Return of Sep. 2016 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=3.22095238/79.76+0.0295
=6.99 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


St Jude Medical  (NYSE:STJ) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


St Jude Medical Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of St Jude Medical's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


St Jude Medical (St Jude Medical) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
St Jude Medical Inc was incorporated in Minnesota in 1976. It develops, manufactures and distributes cardiovascular medical devices for the cardiac rhythm management, cardiovascular and atrial fibrillation therapy areas and neurostimulation medical devices for the management of chronic pain. The Company's two segments are the Implantable Electronic Systems Division and the Cardiovascular and Ablation Technologies Division. The Company's principal products in each business unit are as follows: Implantable Electronic Systems Division (IESD) - tachycardia implantable cardioverter defibrillator systems (ICDs), bradycardia pacemaker systems (pacemakers) and neurostimulation products (spinal cord and deep brain stimulation devices); and Cardiovascular and Ablation Technologies Division (CATD) - vascular products (vascular closure products, pressure measurement guidewires, optical coherence tomography (OCT) imaging products, vascular plugs and other vascular accessories), structural heart products (heart valve replacement and repair products and structural heart defect devices) and atrial fibrillation (AF) products (electrophysiology (EP) introducers and catheters, cardiac mapping, navigation and recording systems and ablation systems). Implantable Electronic Systems Division (IESD): IESD is focused on the cardiac rhythm management and neuromodulation therapy areas. Cardiac rhythm management devices include ICDs that provide life-saving therapy to patients suffering from lethal heart conditions, such as sudden cardiac arrest; cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) devices to save and improve the lives of patients suffering from heart failure (HF); pacemakers to help patients whose hearts beat too slowly or who suffer from other debilitating cardiac arrhythmias; leads (wires that connect devices to the heart) to carry electrical impulses to the heart and provide information from the heart to the device; and programmers and remote monitoring equipment which are used by physicians and healthcare professionals to program is cardiac rhythm management devices and analyze device data to improve patient management. Neuromodulation product offerings provide neurostimulation treatment in which an implantable device delivers electrical current directly to targeted nerve sites. The Company's commercialized neurostimulation therapies include spinal cord stimulation (SCS) for the treatment of chronic pain, deep brain stimulation (DBS) for treating the symptoms of Parkinson's disease and peripheral nerve stimulation (PNS) for the treatment of chronic migraine headache. A neurostimulation system typically consists of four components: a pulse generator that produces the electrical current and is implanted under the patient's skin; implanted leads that carry the electrical impulses to the targeted nerve sites; an external patient remote control that enables the patient to control his or her therapy within prescribed ranges; and an external clinician pro
Executives
Jeff Fecho officer: VP, Global Quality ONE ST. JUDE MEDICAL DRIVE ST. PAUL MN 55117
Philip Ebeling officer: VP, Chief Technology Officer INSPIRE MEDICAL SYSTEMS, INC., 5500 WAYZATA BLVD., SUITE 1600, GOLDEN VALLEY MN 55416
Donald Zurbay officer: VP Finance and CFO C/O ST. JUDE MEDICAL, INC., ONE ST JUDE MEDICAL DRIVE, ST. PAUL MN 55117
Michael A Rocca director C/O LIGAND PHARMACEUTICALS INCORPORATED, 10275 SCIENCE CENTER DRIVE, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Barbara B Hill director
Wendy L Yarno director
Stuart Essig director 311 C ENTERPRISE DRIVE, PLAINSBORO NJ 08536
John C Heinmiller officer: Executive Vice President ONE ST JUDE MEDICAL DRIVE, ST. PAUL MN 55117
John W Brown director STRYKER CORP, 2725 FAIRFIELD ROAD, KALAMAZOO MI 49002
David C Dvorak director C/O ZIMMER INC, PO BOX 708, WARSAW IN 46580
Michael T Rousseau director, officer: Director, President and CEO ONE ST JUDE MEDICAL DRIVE, ST. PAUL MN 55117
Eric S Fain officer: Group President ONE ST JUDE MEDICAL DRIVE, ST. PAUL MN MN
Daniel J Starks director ONE ST JUDE MEDICAL DRIVE, ST PAUL MN 55117
Joel Becker officer: President, Americas ONE ST. JUDE MEDICAL DRIVE, ST. PAUL MN 55418
Rohan Hoare officer: President - NMD 100 CYBERONICS BLVD, HOUSTON TX 77058

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