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Universal Health Realtyome Trust (Universal Health Realtyome Trust) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.05% (As of May. 21, 2024)


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What is Universal Health Realtyome Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Universal Health Realtyome Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Universal Health Realtyome Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the REIT - Healthcare Facilities subindustry, Universal Health Realtyome Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Universal Health Realtyome Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Universal Health Realtyome Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Universal Health Realtyome Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Universal Health Realtyome Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.58

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.05%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Universal Health Realtyome Trust  (NYSE:UHT) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Universal Health Realtyome Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Universal Health Realtyome Trust (Universal Health Realtyome Trust) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
367 South Gulph Road, P.O. Box 61558, Universal Corporate Center, King of Prussia, PA, USA, 19406-0958
Universal Health Realty Income Trust is a healthcare REIT. The company is engaged in the business of investing in and leasing healthcare and human service facilities through direct ownership or through joint ventures, which aggregate into a single reportable segment. The company actively manages a portfolio of healthcare and human service facilities. The revenue and net income are generated from the operation of the investment portfolio which is located throughout the United States.
Executives
Alan B Miller director, officer: Chairman, President and CEO 367 SOUTH GULPH ROAD, KING OF PRUSSIA PA 19406
Robert F Mccadden other: Trustee C/O PENN. REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST, 200 SOUTH BROAD STREET, PHILADELPHIA PA 19102
Rebecca A Guzman director 1201 NORTH MARKET STREET, SUITE 501, WILMINGTON DE 19801-1659
Karla J Peterson officer: Vice President 367 SOUTH GULPH ROAD, KING OF PRUSSIA PA 19406
Michael Allan Domb director 1845 WALNUT STREET, SUITE 2200, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
James P Morey director 334 AUBREY ROAD, WYNNEWOOD PA 19096
Gayle L Capozzalo director 789 HOWARD AVENUE, 1059 CLINIC BUILDING, NEW HAVEN CT 06519
Charles F Boyle officer: Vice President and CFO 367 SOUTH GULPH ROAD, KING OF PRUSSIA PA 19406
Randall C Stein other: Trustee 940 HAVERFORD ROAD, BRYN MAWR PA 19010
Marc D Miller other: Trustee 367 SOUTH GULPH ROAD, KING OF PRUSSIA PA 19406
Cheryl K Ramagano officer: VP, Treasurer & Secretary 367 SOUTH GULPH ROAD, KING OF PRUSSIA PA 19406
Miles L Berger other: Trustee
Myles H Tanenbaum other: Trustee
Sussman Elliot J Md Mba other: Trustee
Dalton James E Jr other: Trustee 6505 EDINBURGH DR, NASHVILLE TN 37221