GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Utilities » Utilities - Regulated » Piedmont Natural Gas Co Inc (NYSE:PNY) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Piedmont Natural Gas Co (Piedmont Natural Gas Co) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of May. 06, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1970. Start your Free Trial

What is Piedmont Natural Gas Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Piedmont Natural Gas Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Piedmont Natural Gas Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Utilities - Regulated Gas subindustry, Piedmont Natural Gas Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Piedmont Natural Gas Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Piedmont Natural Gas Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Piedmont Natural Gas Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Piedmont Natural Gas Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Piedmont Natural Gas Co  (NYSE:PNY) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Piedmont Natural Gas Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Piedmont Natural Gas Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Piedmont Natural Gas Co (Piedmont Natural Gas Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Piedmont Natural Gas Co Inc was incorporated in New York in 1950 and began operations in 1951. In 1994, it merged into a newly formed North Carolina corporation with the same name for the purpose of changing its state of incorporation to North Carolina. The Company is an energy services company whose business is distribution of natural gas to residential, commercial, industrial and power generation clients in portions of North Carolina, South Carolina and Tennessee, including customers served by municipalities who are its wholesale customers. The Company is invested in joint venture, energy-related businesses, including unregulated retail natural gas marketing, regulated interstate natural gas transportation and storage and regulated intrastate natural gas transportation. It provides service from resource centers in Anderson, Greenville and Spartanburg in South Carolina and Charlotte, Salisbury, Greensboro, Winston-Salem, High Point, Burlington, Hickory, Indian Trail, Spruce Pine, Reidsville, Fayetteville, New Bern, Wilmington, Tarboro, Elizabeth City, Rockingham and Goldsboro in North Carolina. In North Carolina, it also provides natural gas service to Greenville, Rocky Mount and Wilson. In Tennessee, its service area is the metropolitan area of Nashville, including wholesale natural gas service to Gallatin and Smyrna. The Company has three reportable business segments, regulated utility, regulated non-utility activities and unregulated non-utility activities. The regulated utility segment includes operating a safe and reliable natural gas distribution system and the ability to recover the costs and expenses of the business in the rates charged to customers. The regulated non-utility activities segment consists of equity method investments in regulated energy-related joint ventures that are held by the Company's wholly-owned subsidiaries. The unregulated non-utility activities segment consists of its equity method investment in an unregulated energy-related joint venture that is held by a wholly-owned subsidiary. The regulated utility competes with other energy products, such as electricity and propane, in the residential and commercial customer markets. Natural gas for power generation competes with other fuel sources for the generation of electricity, including coal, nuclear and renewable resources. Additionally, as with industrial customers, the Company competes with other pipeline providers to serve the power generation plants.
Executives
Frank H Yoho officer: Senior Vice President 5430 LBJ FREEWAY, SUITE 1800, DALLAS TX 75240
Thomas E Skains director, officer: Chairman, President and CEO 214 N TRYON STREET, CHARLOTTE NC 28202
Phillip D Wright director 17988 EDISON AVE., CHESTERFIELD MO 63005
Holding Frank B Jr director 4300 SIX FORKS ROAD, RALEIGH NC 27609
Vicki W Mcelreath director PO BOX 33068, CHARLOTTE NC 28233
Minor M Shaw director PO BOX 6721, C/O MICCO CORP, GREENVILLE SC 29606
John W Harris director PO BOX 26532, RICHMOND VA 23261
Kim R Cocklin officer: Vice President C/O ATMOS ENERGY CORPORATION, PO BOX 650205, DALLAS TX 75256

Piedmont Natural Gas Co (Piedmont Natural Gas Co) Headlines

From GuruFocus

Piedmont Natural Gas Company (PNY) Dividend Stock Analysis

By Dividend Growth Investor Dividend Growth Investor 12-07-2012

Piedmont Natural Gas Dividend Stock Analysis

By guruek Dividend Growth Investor 09-26-2010

Guru Stocks Raising Dividends: PNY, MLR, MAIN, GD, SPLS

By GuruFocus GuruFocus 03-11-2012

Piedmont Natural Gas (PNY) Dividend Stock Analysis

By Dividends4Life Dividends4Life 07-22-2010

Two Income Stocks Raising Dividends, two more expected to raise them in March

By Dividend Growth Investor Dividend Growth Investor 03-14-2011