Leap Therapeutics (Leap Therapeutics) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 1.33% (As of Jun. 05, 2024)

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What is Leap Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Leap Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 1.33%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Leap Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Leap Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Leap Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Leap Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Leap Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

Leap Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-4.31

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	1.33%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Leap Therapeutics (NAS:LPTX) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Leap Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Leap Therapeutics (Leap Therapeutics) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Leap Therapeutics Inc (NAS:LPTX) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

5MC:Germany 5MC:Germany

Address

47 Thorndike Street, Suite B1-1, Cambridge, MA, USA, 02141

Website

https://www.leaptx.com

Leap Therapeutics Inc is a biopharmaceutical company developing novel therapies designed to treat patients with cancer by inhibiting fundamental tumor-promoting pathways and by harnessing the immune system to attack cancer cells. Its clinical stage program is DKN-01, a monoclonal antibody that inhibits Dickkopf-related protein 1, or DKK1. DKK1 is a protein that regulates the Wnt signaling pathways and enables tumor cells to proliferate and spread, as well as suppresses the immune system from attacking the tumor. The company is studying DKN-01 in multiple ongoing clinical trials in patients with esophagogastric cancer, gynecologic cancers, or prostate cancer. Its other clinical studies include P204,and P205.

Executives

Jason Baum	officer: Chief Scientific Officer	LEAP THERAPEUTICS, INC., 47 THORNDIKE STREET, SUITE B1, CAMBRIDGE MA 02141
Patricia A. Martin	director	316 BEECHWOOD FARM LANE, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46260
Christian M Richard	director	100 FEDERAL STREET, 19TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02110
Richard Schilsky	director	LEAP THERAPEUTICS, INC., 47 THORNDIKE STREET, SUITE B1, CAMBRIDGE MA 02141
Beigene, Ltd.	10 percent owner	C/O MOURANT GOVERNANCE SERVICES (CAYMAN), 94 SOLARIS AVENUE, CAMANA BAY, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-1108
Christine Granfield	officer: VP, Head of Reg Affairs/Qual	C/O LEAP THERAPEUTICS, 47 THORNDIKE STREET, SUITE B1-1, CAMBRIDGE MA 02141
Perceptive Life Sciences Master Fund Ltd	10 percent owner	C/O PERCEPTIVE ADVISORS LLC, 51 ASTOR PLACE, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
John Mark O'mahony	officer: Chief Manufacturing Officer	C/O LEAP THERAPEUTICS, INC., 47 THORNDIKE STREET, SUITE B1-1, CAMBRIDGE MA 02141
Cynthia Sirard	officer: Chief Medical Officer	C/O LEAP THERAPEUTICS, INC., 47 THORNDIKE STREET, SUITE B1-1, CAMBRIDGE MA 02141
Joseph Edelman	10 percent owner	C/O PERCEPTIVE ADVISORS LLC, 51 ASTOR PLACE, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Perceptive Advisors Llc	10 percent owner	51 ASTOR PLACE, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Christopher Mirabelli	director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO,Pres,Chairman of the Board	55 CAMBRIDGE PARKWAY, SUITE 301, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Augustine Lawlor	10 percent owner, officer: Chief Operating Officer	55 CAMBRIDGE PARKWAY, SUITE 301, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Douglas E Onsi	10 percent owner, officer: CFO,Gen Counsel,Treas, Sec.	C/O TOLERRX INC, 300 TECHNOLOGY SQUARE, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Healthcare Ventures Ix, L.p.	10 percent owner	55 CAMBRIDGE PARKWAY, SUITE 102, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142