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iGen Networks (iGen Networks) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 76.76% (As of Jun. 06, 2024)


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What is iGen Networks Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, iGen Networks's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 76.76%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of iGen Networks's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Software - Application subindustry, iGen Networks's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


iGen Networks's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, iGen Networks's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where iGen Networks's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



iGen Networks Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=1.19

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=76.76%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


iGen Networks  (OTCPK:IGEN) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


iGen Networks Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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iGen Networks (iGen Networks) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » iGen Networks Corp (OTCPK:IGEN) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
31772 Casino Drive, Suite C, Lake Elsinore, CA, USA, 92530
iGen Networks Corp is engaged in the development and marketing of software services for the automotive industry. It has one reportable segment being Vehicle Tracking and Recovery Solutions. The company works with wireless carriers, hardware suppliers and software developers to provide direct and secure access to information on the vehicle and the driver's behavior. The software services are delivered from the AWS Cloud to the consumer and their families over the wireless networks and accessed from any mobile or desktop device. The software services are marketed to automotive dealers, financial institutions, and direct-to-consumer through various commercial and consumer brands. The company's brands include Nimbo Tracking, CU Trak, and Medallion GPS PRO.
Executives
Neil Gene Chan director, officer: CEO 1075 ST. DAVID STREET, VICTORIA A1 V8S 4Y7
Robert G Friedman director, 10 percent owner 510 EAST 80 STREET, NEW YORK NY 10075
Sierra Abel Israel Sr officer: VP/GM 28375 ROSTRATA AVE, LAKE ELSINORE CA 92532
Robert Nealon director 119 NORTH HENRY STREET, ALEXANDRIA VA 22314
Richard Allan Freeman director, officer: COO 361 WEST 20TH AVE, VANCOUVER A1 V5Y 2C5
Richard Gilbertson director, officer: Chief Financial Officer 408 WEST PALM AIRE DRIVE, POMPANO BEACH FL 33069
Chris Shade director 84283 - 5512 4TH STREET NW, CALGARY A0 T2K 1A9
Monty Ormsby director, officer: President 5605 INDIGO BAY WAY, LAS VEGAS NV 89131
Michael Grudman director, officer: CFO 104 - 838 W16TH AVE, VANCOUVER A1 V5Z 1T1