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Greencity Acquisition (Greencity Acquisition) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of May. 26, 2024)


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What is Greencity Acquisition Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Greencity Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Greencity Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Shell Companies subindustry, Greencity Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Greencity Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Diversified Financial Services Industry

For the Diversified Financial Services industry and Financial Services sector, Greencity Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Greencity Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Greencity Acquisition Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Greencity Acquisition  (OTCPK:GRCYF) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Greencity Acquisition Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Greencity Acquisition (Greencity Acquisition) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
505 Eshan Road, Floor 6, Pudong New District, Shanghai, CHN, 200120
Website
Greencity Acquisition Corp is a blank check company.
Executives
Hudson Bay Capital Management Lp 10 percent owner 28 HAVEMEYER PLACE, 2ND FLOOR, GREENWICH CT 06830
Sander Gerber 10 percent owner C/O HUDSON BAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P., 28 HAVEMEYER PLACE, 2ND FLOOR, GREENWICH CT 06830
Lawrence Feis 10 percent owner 190 EAST WALTON PLACE, UNIT 603, CHICAGO IL 60611
Feis Equities Llc 10 percent owner 20 NORTH WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 2115, CHICAGO IL 60606
Glazer Capital, Llc 10 percent owner 250 WEST 55TH STREET, SUITE 30A, NEW YORK NY 10019
Paul J Glazer 10 percent owner 250 WEST 55TH ST, SUITE 30A, NEW YORK NY 10019
Lei Wang director 2609 MONTE CRESTA DRIVE, BELMONT CA 94002
Cynthia Management Corp 10 percent owner SUITE 807 TOWER 2 CENTURY LINK PLAZA, NO. 1196 CENTURY AVENUE, PUDONG DISTRICT F4 200000
Jianmin Yu 10 percent owner, officer: CFO 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Jinlong Liu director, 10 percent owner 100 PARK AVENUE 16TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Chao Liu director 100 PARK AVENUE 16TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Ming Zhang officer: CEO 100 PARK AVENUE 16TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Yong Li director 100 PARK AVENUE 16TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017

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