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DallasNews (DallasNews) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.11% (As of May. 21, 2024)


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What is DallasNews Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, DallasNews's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.11%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of DallasNews's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Publishing subindustry, DallasNews's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


DallasNews's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, DallasNews's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where DallasNews's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



DallasNews Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.81

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.11%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


DallasNews  (NAS:DALN) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


DallasNews Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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DallasNews (DallasNews) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
P. O. Box 224866, Dallas, TX, USA, 75222-4866
DallasNews Corp is a local news and information publishing company in Texas with commercial printing, distribution, and direct mail capabilities, as well as a presence in emerging media and digital marketing.
Executives
Dunia A Shive director 14221 N DALLAS PARKWAY, SUITE 1100, DALLAS TX 75254
Christine E Larkin officer: VP/General Counsel 508 YOUNG ST., DALLAS TX 75202
John A Beckert director C/O A. H. BELO CORPORATION, P.O. BOX 224866, DALLAS TX 75222-4866
Mary K Murray officer: SVP/CFO, Treas. & Asst. Sec'y C/O A. H. BELO CORPORATION, 508 YOUNG STREET, DALLAS TX 75202
Grant Moise officer: SVP/Bus Dev-Dallas MN 508 YOUNG STREET, DALLAS TX 75202
Robert W Decherd director, officer: Chairman, President & CEO
Moroney James M Iii officer: EVP/Publ & CEO Dallas News
Michael Joseph Ohara officer: SVP/CIO 508 YOUNG ST., DALLAS TX 75202
Timothy Michael Storer officer: President/DMV Portfolio 508 YOUNG STREET, DALLAS TX 75202
Julie Kaye Hoagland officer: SVP/Chief People Officer 508 YOUNG STREET, DALLAS TX 75202
Dealey D Herndon director HERNDON, DEALEY D, P O BOX 655237, DALLAS TX 75265-5237
Leslie Nicole Purcell officer: SVP/Chief Digital Officer 508 YOUNG STREET, DALLAS TX 75202
Michael J. Wilson officer: Dallas Morning News Editor 508 YOUNG STREET, DALLAS TX 75202
Daniel J Blizzard officer: Senior Vice President 400 SOUTH RECORD STREET, DALLAS TX 75202
Alison K Engel officer: SVP/CFO and Treasurer 400 SOUTH RECORD STREET, DALLAS TX 75202