What is Cytec Industries Probability of Financial Distress (%)?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Cytec Industries's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Competitive Comparison of Cytec Industries's Probability of Financial Distress (%)
For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, Cytec Industries's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Cytec Industries's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Chemicals Industry
For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Cytec Industries's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Cytec Industries's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Cytec Industries Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
| LPFD | = | -20.12 * NIMTAAVG | + | 1.60 * TLMTA | - | 7.88 * EXRETAVG | + | 1.55 * SIGMA | - | 0.005 * RSIZE | - | 2.27 * CASHMTA | + | 0.070 * MB | - | 0.09 * PRICE | - | 8.87 |
| = | 0.00 |
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
| PFD | = | 1 | / | (1 + e^(-LPFD)) | * | 100% |
| = | 0.00% |
The eight explanatory variables are:
1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets
*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.
2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets
3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets
For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
6. RSIZE = Relative Size
| RSIZE | = | log (Market Cap | / | Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies) |
7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio
8. PRICE
PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).
Cytec Industries (Cytec Industries) Business Description
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Cytec Industries Inc was incorporated as an independent public company in Delaware in December 1993. It is a specialty materials and chemicals company. Its products serve a diverse range of end markets including aerospace and industrial materials, mining and plastics. Its segments include Aerospace Materials, Industrial Materials, In Process Separation, and Additive Technologies. Its Aerospace Materials segment is a provider of technologically advanced materials for aerospace markets. Its product lines are Advanced composites, Structural and film adhesives, and Carbon fibers. It markets Aerospace Materials products and services directly to its customers using sales and technical support team. It is a supplier for military fixed wing programs, such as the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter and F-18 fighter jet programs, where advanced composites generally account for a higher percentage of structural weight. Advanced composites are exceptionally strong and lightweight materials (prepregs and resin infusion systems) it manufactures from high performance fibers (like carbon fiber) with epoxy, bismaleimide, phenolic, polyimide and other resins formulated or purchased by the Company. Structural and film adhesives are used for bonding and surfacing both metal and composite aircraft components. It also manufactures specialty adhesive forms for complex composites assemblies, such as honeycomb and sandwich structures and special surfacing films to provide aircraft lightning strike protection. It began construction on a new standard modulus carbon fiber line in South Carolina in early 2008. Its Industrial Materials segment provides Structural materials and Process materials. In Industrial Materials, it markets its products through a direct sales force for the structural materials and process materials product lines. Structural materials product line includes the development, manufacturing and supply of advanced composite materials for a diverse range of industries such as motorsports, automotive, defense, rail, tooling, recreation, alternative energy and other markets. Process materials product line includes the development, manufacture, and supply of vacuum bagging and other process materials to the composites industry and other markets, providing a wide range of materials and technical support to a growing number of international customers. Its In Process Separation segment provides Mining chemicals, and Phosphines. It markets In Process Separation chemicals through specialized sales and technical service staffs for each of its product lines. Mining chemicals product line is primarily used in applications to separate desired minerals from host ores. Phosphine specialties are utilized for a variety of applications. Its Additive Technologies segment provides Polymer additives, Specialty additives, and Formulated resins. It markets Additive Technologies chemicals through specialized sales and technical service staffs for each of its product lines. I
Executives
| Carol P Lowe |
director |
4311 BEULAH CHURCH ROAD, WEDDINGTON NC 28104 |
| Barry C Johnson |
director |
C/O CYTEC INDUSTRIES INC, 5 GARRET MOUNTAIN PLAZA, WEST PATERSON NJ 07424 |
| David P Hess |
director |
390 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022 |
| Anthony G Fernandes |
director |
9700 HIGGINS ROAD, SUITE 750, ROSEMONT IL 60018 |
| Thomas W Rabaut |
director |
C/O CYTEC INDUSTRIES INC, 5 GARRET MOUNTAIN PLAZA, WEST PATERSON NJ 07424 |
| William P Powell |
director |
C/O CYTEC INDUSTRIES INC, 5 GARRET MOUNTAIN PLAZA, WEST PATERSON NJ 07424 |
| David Lilley |
director |
|
| Assche Benoit Van |
officer: President, CSS |
10-1 BLANCHARDSTOWN CORPORATE PARK, BALLYCOOLIN, DUBLIN L2 15 |
Cytec Industries (Cytec Industries) Headlines
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