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Applied Minerals (Applied Minerals) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of Jun. 07, 2024)


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What is Applied Minerals Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Applied Minerals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Applied Minerals's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Other Industrial Metals & Mining subindustry, Applied Minerals's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Applied Minerals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Applied Minerals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Applied Minerals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Applied Minerals Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Applied Minerals  (OTCPK:AMNL) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Applied Minerals Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Applied Minerals (Applied Minerals) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1200 Silver City Road, PO Box 432, Eureka, UT, USA, 84628
Applied Minerals Inc is an exploration-stage company engaged in the production of halloysite clay and natural iron oxide solutions based in the United States. The company owns and operates the Dragon Mine in Utah, from which it extracts, processes and markets halloysite clay and iron oxide which is sold to various markets. It sells halloysite and Iron Oxide under the DRAGONITE and AMIRON brand respectively.
Executives
Geoffrey Gates Scott director C/O AEHR TEST SYSTEMS, 400 KATO TERRACE, FREMONT CA 94539
Ibs Turnaround Fund (qp) (a Ltd Partnership) 10 percent owner ONE INTERNATIONAL PLACE, SUITE 3120, BOSTON MA 02110
Andre Zeitoun director, officer: President and CEO 630 EAST MULLAN AVENUE, OSBURN ID 83849
Zamani Ali director 110 GREENE STREET, NEW YORK NY 10012
John F Levy director C/O WASHINGTON PRIME GROUP INC., 180 EAST BROAD STREET, COLUMBUS OH 43215
Mario Concha director 110 GREENE STREET, SUITE 1101, NEW YORK NY 10012
Michael Barry director 500 PARK AVENUE, 2ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10004
Kingdon Gp, Llc 10 percent owner 157 WEST 57TH STREET, 50TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
M. Kingdon Offshore Master Fund L.p. 10 percent owner C/O OGIER GLOBAL (CAYMAN) LIMITED, 89 NEXUS WAY, CAMANA BAY, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-9009
Kingdon Capital Management, L.l.c. 10 percent owner 152 WEST 57TH STREET, 50TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
James Berylson 10 percent owner C/O BERYLSON CAPITAL PARTNERS, LLC, 200 CLARENDON STREET, 50TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Mark E Kingdon 10 percent owner
Christopher T Carney officer: Interim CFO 110 GREENE ST. #1101, NEW YORK NY 10012
Ibs Capital Llc 10 percent owner ONE INTERNATIONAL PLACE, 31ST FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02110
David A Taft director ONE INTERNATIONAL PLACE, 31ST FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02110