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Akero Therapeutics (Akero Therapeutics) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of May. 26, 2024)


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What is Akero Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Akero Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Akero Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Akero Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Akero Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Akero Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Akero Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Akero Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.11

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Akero Therapeutics  (NAS:AKRO) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Akero Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Akero Therapeutics (Akero Therapeutics) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
601 Gateway Boulevard, Suite 350, South San Francisco, CA, USA, 94080
Akero Therapeutics Inc is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on developing and commercializing transformative treatments for serious metabolic diseases with high unmet medical needs. Its focus is nonalcoholic steatohepatitis, or NASH, a disease without any approved therapies. The company's product candidate efruxifermin is an FGF21 analog with properties that has the potential to address the core processes underlying NASH pathogenesis.
Executives
Jonathan Young officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O AKERO THERAPEUTICS, INC., 170 HARBOR WAY 3RD FL, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Andrew Cheng director, officer: President & CEO 170 HARBOR WAY, 3RD FLOOR, C/O AKERO THERAPEUTICS, INC., SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Catriona Yale officer: Chief Development Officer C/O AKERO THERAPEUTICS INC., 170 HARBOR WAY 3RD FLOOR, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
William Richard White officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O AKERO THERAPEUTICS, INC., 170 HARBOR WAY 2ND FLOOR, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Timothy Rolph officer: Chief Scientific Officer C/O AKERO THERAPEUTICS, INC., 170 HARBOR WAY, 3RD FLOOR, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
G. Walmsley Graham director ONE SANSOME STREET, SUITE 1650, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Tomas J. Heyman director C/O AKERO THERAPEUTICS, INC., 170 HARBOR WAY 3RD FLOOR, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Jane Henderson director C/O ELEVEN BIOTHERAPEUTICS, INC., 215 FIRST STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Patrick Lamy officer: See Remarks AKERO THERAPEUTICS, INC., 601 GATEWAY BOULEVARD, SUITE 350, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Skorpios Trust other: Former 10% owner 195 ARCH. MAKARIOS III AVE., NEOCLEOUS HOUSE, LIMASSOL G4 3030
Montrago Trustees Ltd other: Former 10% owner 195 ARCH. MAKARIOS III AVE., NEOCLEOUS HOUSE, LIMASSOL G4 3030
Blue Horizon Enterprise Ltd other: Former 10% owner 3076, SIR FRANCIS DRAKES HIGHWAY, ROAD TOWN, TORTOLA D8 VG1110
Ezbon International Ltd other: Former 10% owner 3076, SIR FRANCIS DRAKES HIGHWAY, ROAD TOWN, TORTOLA D8 VG1110
Seth Loring Harrison director 230 PARK AVENUE, SUITE 2800, NEW YORK NY 10169
Chou Judy director C/O AKERO THERAPEUTICS, INC., 601 GATEWAY BLVD, SUITE 350, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 64080

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