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ACV Auctions (ACV Auctions) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of May. 27, 2024)


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What is ACV Auctions Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, ACV Auctions's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of ACV Auctions's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Auto & Truck Dealerships subindustry, ACV Auctions's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ACV Auctions's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, ACV Auctions's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ACV Auctions's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



ACV Auctions Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.07

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


ACV Auctions  (NAS:ACVA) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


ACV Auctions Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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ACV Auctions (ACV Auctions) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
640 Ellicott Street, Suite 321, Buffalo, NY, USA, 14203
ACV Auctions Inc is a mobile platform for wholesale car auctions. It provides a digital marketplace for wholesale vehicle transactions and data services that offer transparent and accurate vehicle information for customers.
Executives
William Zerella officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O FITBIT, INC., 405 HOWARD STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Michael Waterman officer: Chief Sales Officer C/O ACV AUCTIONS INC., 640 ELLICOTT STREET, #321, BUFFALO NY 14203
Craig Eric Anderson officer: CCDSO and Chief Legal Officer C/O ACV AUCTIONS INC., 640 ELLICOTT STREET, #321, BUFFALO NY 14203
George Chamoun director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O SYNACOR, INC., 40 LA RIVIERE DRIVE, SUITE 300, BUFFALO NY 14202
Bessemer Venture Partners Ix L.p. 10 percent owner C/O BESSEMER VENTURE PARTNERS, 1865 PALMER AVENUE, SUITE 104, LARCHMONT NY 10538
Vikas Mehta officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O ACV AUCTIONS INC., 640 ELLICOTT STREET, #321, BUFFALO NY 14203
Kirsten Castillo director 5 GREAT VALLEY PARKWAY, SUITE 160, MALVERN PA 19355
Brian Hirsch director C/O ACV AUCTIONS INC., 640 ELLICOTT STREET, #321, BUFFALO NY 14203
Eileen A Kamerick director 200 NORTH ADAMS STREET, GREEN BAY WI 54301
Robert P Goodman director 1865 PALMER AVENUE, SUITE 104, LARCHMONT NY 10538
Leanne Fitzgerald officer: Chief Legal Officer 1 WAYSIDE ROAD, BURLINGTON MA 01803
Bessemer Venture Partners Ix Institutional L.p. 10 percent owner 1865 PALMER AVENUE, SUITE 104, LARCHMONT NY 10538
Deer Ix & Co. L.p. 10 percent owner C/O BESSEMER VENTURE PARTNERS, 1865 PALMER AVENUE, SUITE 104, LARCHMONT NY 10538
Deer Ix & Co. Ltd. 10 percent owner C/O BESSEMER VENTURE PARTNERS, 1865 PALMER AVENUE, SUITE 104, LARCHMONT NY 10538
15 Angels Iii Llc 10 percent owner 1865 PALMER AVENUE, SUITE 104, LARCHMONT NY 10538