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Oncotelic Therapeutics (Oncotelic Therapeutics) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-0.01 (As of Dec23)


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What is Oncotelic Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Oncotelic Therapeutics's earnings power value is $-0.01. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Oncotelic Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Oncotelic Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Oncotelic Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Oncotelic Therapeutics Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
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Oncotelic Therapeutics Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
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Competitive Comparison of Oncotelic Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Oncotelic Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Oncotelic Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Oncotelic Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Oncotelic Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Oncotelic Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Oncotelic Therapeutics's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 0.36
DDA 0.10
Operating Margin % -37.79
SGA * 25% 0.94
Tax Rate % 0.00
Maintenance Capex 0.00
Cash and Cash Equivalents 0.17
Short-Term Debt 10.68
Long-Term Debt 1.90
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 398.95

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -37.79%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $0.36 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -37.79%, Average Adjusted SGA = 0.94,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 0.36 * -37.79% +0.94 = $0.805719187 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 0.00%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $0.805719187 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 0.805719187 * ( 1 - 0.00% ) = $0.805719187 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 0.10 * 0.5 * 0.00% = $0 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0.805719187 + 0 = $0.805719187 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Oncotelic Therapeutics's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $0.00 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Oncotelic Therapeutics's current cash and cash equivalent = $0.17 Mil.
Oncotelic Therapeutics's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 1.90 + 10.68 = $12.573 Mil.
Oncotelic Therapeutics's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 398.95 Mil.

Oncotelic Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 0.805719187 - 0.00)/ 9%+0.17-12.573 )/398.95
=-0.01

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -0.0086491370798997-0.0394 )/-0.0086491370798997
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Oncotelic Therapeutics  (OTCPK:OTLC) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Oncotelic Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Oncotelic Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Oncotelic Therapeutics (Oncotelic Therapeutics) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
29397 Agoura Road, Suite 107, Agoura Hills, CA, USA, 91301
Oncotelic Therapeutics Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company. It focuses on developing drugs for the treatment of orphan oncology indications, developing antisense and small molecule injectable drugs for the treatment of cancer with a focus on rare pediatric cancers, and addressing the current global pandemic. OT-101 is its lead immuno-oncology drug candidate. OT-101 also has activity against SARS-CoV-2. Its other products under pipeline are Artemisinin, CA4P, and Oxi4503. Currently, the company generates revenues from rendering services to other third-party customers for the development of certain drug products or in connection with certain out-licensing agreements.
Executives
Vuong Trieu officer: CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER 4003 JIM BOWIE ROAD, AGOURA HILLS CA 91301
Saran Saund officer: CHIEF BUSINESS OFFICER C/O MATEON THERAPEUTICS INC., 29397 AGOURA RD SUTIE 107, AGOURA HILLS CA 91301
Amit B. Shah officer: CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER 10 AGUILA, ALISO VIEJO CA 92656
Chulho Park officer: CHIEF TECHNOLOGY OFFICER 701 GATEWAY BOULEVARD, SUITE 210, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Maida Anthony E Iii director 157 TECHNOLOGY DR, IRVINE CA 92618
Steven W King director
David Diamond director 29397 AGOURA RD., SUITE 107, AGOURA HILLS CA 91301
Fatih Uckun 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Medical Officer 701 GATEWAY BOULEVARD, SUITE 210, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Chao Hsiao 10 percent owner 701 GATEWAY BOULEVARD, SUITE 201, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Larn Hwang 10 percent owner C/O MARINA BIOTECH, INC., 17870 CASTLETON STREET, SUITE 250, CITY OF INDUSTRY CA 91748
Donald Rogers Reynolds director C/O WYRICK ROBBINS YATES & PONTON LLP, 4101 LAKE BOONE TRAIL, SUITE 300, RALEIGH NC 27607
Sandage Bobby W Phd director C/O 99 HAYDEN AVE, 1 LEDGEMONT CENTER, LEXINGTON MA 02173
Simon Pedder director 1001 MAIN STREET, SUITE 600, BUFFALO NY 14203
Matthew M Loar officer: Chief Financial Officer 505 PENOBSCOT DR, REDWOOD CITY CA 94063
Pamela Ha officer: Controller 701 GATEWAY BOULEVARD, SUITE 210, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080