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International Game Technology (FRA:IGT) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : €3.80 (As of Dec14)


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What is International Game Technology Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec14, International Game Technology's earnings power value is €3.80. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


International Game Technology Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for International Game Technology's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

International Game Technology Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

International Game Technology Annual Data
Trend Sep05 Sep06 Sep07 Sep08 Sep09 Sep10 Sep11 Sep12 Sep13 Sep14
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.51 3.02 1.49 2.91 3.84

International Game Technology Quarterly Data
Mar10 Jun10 Sep10 Dec10 Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.89 2.56 2.83 3.84 3.52

Competitive Comparison of International Game Technology's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Gambling subindustry, International Game Technology's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


International Game Technology's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, International Game Technology's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where International Game Technology's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



International Game Technology Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

International Game Technology's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 1,571
DDA 166
Operating Margin % 21.03
SGA * 25% 77
Tax Rate % 29.45
Maintenance Capex 109
Cash and Cash Equivalents 163
Short-Term Debt 0
Long-Term Debt 1,468
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 250

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 21.03%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = €1,571 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 21.03%, Average Adjusted SGA = 77,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 1,571 * 21.03% +77 = €407.468861881 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 29.45%, and "Normalized" EBIT = €407.468861881 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 407.468861881 * ( 1 - 29.45% ) = €287.48558081152 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 166 * 0.5 * 29.45% = €24.464090152 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 287.48558081152 + 24.464090152 = €311.94967096352 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
International Game Technology's Average Maintenance CAPEX = €109 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. International Game Technology's current cash and cash equivalent = €163 Mil.
International Game Technology's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 1,468 + 0 = €1468.072 Mil.
International Game Technology's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 250 Mil.

International Game Technology's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec14 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 311.94967096352 - 109)/ 9%+163-1468.072 )/250
=3.80

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 3.7961856281855-16.21 )/3.7961856281855
= -327.01%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


International Game Technology  (FRA:IGT) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


International Game Technology Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of International Game Technology's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


International Game Technology (FRA:IGT) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Website
International Game Technology was incorporated in Nevada in December 1980. It is a gaming Company specializing in the design, development, manufacture, and marketing of casino-style gaming equipment, systems technology, and game content across multiple platforms land-based, online real-money and social gaming. The Company manages operations in two geographic segments namely North America and International. North America consists of operations in the US and Canada and International encompasses its efforts in all other jurisdictions. The Company has two revenue streams within each business segment gaming operations and product sales. It includes the sales of gaming equipment, systems, services, licensing, and component parts in Product Sales. It provides casino games, gaming equipment and systems technology for land-based and online social gaming and wagering markets under for-sale or revenue sharing arrangements. IGT systems products include infrastructure and applications for casino management, customer relationship management, player management, and server-based gaming. Casino management solutions include integrated modules for machine accounting, patron management, cage and table accounting, ticket-in/ticket-out, bonusing, and table game automation. The Company's competitors include Ainsworth Game Technology Ltd, Aristocrat Leisure Limited, Bally Technologies, Inc., Konami Gaming Inc., Novomatic Group of Companies, and WMS Industries, Inc. At September 30, 2013, the Company held approximately 6,000 patents or patent applications and approximately 4,100 trademarks filed and registered around the world. he manufacture and distribution of casino games, gaming equipment, systems technology, and related services, as well as the operation of casinos, is subject to regulation by a variety of federal, state, international, tribal, and local agencies, with the majority of oversight provided by individual state gaming control boards.