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Greenbrier (Greenbrier) Altman Z2-Score : 2.93 (As of Jun. 08, 2024)


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What is Greenbrier Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Good Sign:

Greenbrier has a Altman Z2-Score of 2.93, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z2-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Greenbrier's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

GBX' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.63   Med: 3.9   Max: 5.88
Current: 2.93

During the past 13 years, Greenbrier's highest Altman Z2-Score was 5.88. The lowest was 2.63. And the median was 3.90.


Greenbrier Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Greenbrier's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Greenbrier Altman Z2-Score Chart

Greenbrier Annual Data
Trend Aug14 Aug15 Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.97 3.86 3.14 3.15 2.75

Greenbrier Quarterly Data
May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.05 2.96 2.75 3.03 2.93

Competitive Comparison of Greenbrier's Altman Z2-Score

For the Railroads subindustry, Greenbrier's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Greenbrier's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Greenbrier's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Greenbrier's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Greenbrier Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Greenbrier's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.1882+3.26*0.2331+6.72*0.0585+1.05*0.5132
=2.93

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Feb. 2024:
Total Assets was $4,044 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,639 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $878 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $943 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 38.9 + 41.7 + 41.7 + 27.9 = $150 Mil.
Interest Expense was -23.9 + -21.9 + -20.5 + -20 = $-86 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $2,533 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(1639.3 - 878.2)/4043.6
=0.1882

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=942.7/4043.6
=0.2331

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(150.2 - -86.3)/4043.6
=0.0585

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(1299.9 - 0)/2533.1
=0.5132

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Greenbrier has a Altman Z2-Score of 2.93 indicating it is in Safe Zones.


Greenbrier  (NYSE:GBX) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Greenbrier Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Greenbrier's Altman Z2-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Greenbrier (Greenbrier) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
One Centerpoint Drive, Suite 200, Lake Oswego, OR, USA, 97035
Greenbrier Companies Inc designs, manufactures, and markets railroad freight car equipment in North America and Europe, marine barges in North America and provides wheel services, railcar refurbishment, and parts, leasing and other services to the railroad. Its segments include Manufacturing, Maintenance Services and Leasing & Management Services. The company generates a majority of its revenue from the manufacturing segment. Geographically, it derives a majority of revenue from the United States.
Executives
Martin Raymond Baker officer: SVP, GC & Compliance Officer ONE CENTERPOINTE DRIVE, SUITE 200, LAKE OSWEGO OR 97035
Patrick J Ottensmeyer director PO BOX 219335, KANSAS CITY MO 64121
Laurie R Dornan officer: SVP, Chief HR Officer ONE CENTERPOINTE DR., SUITE 200, LAKE OSWEGO OR 97035
Charles J Swindells director ONE CENTERPOINTE DR., SUITE 200, LAKE OSWEGO OR 97035
Matthew Joseph Meyer officer: SVP, Finance & CAO 47912 HALYARD ROAD, SUITE 100, PLYMOUTH MI 48170
Ricardo Galvan officer: SVP, GRS ONE CENTERPOINTE DR., SUITE 200, LAKE OSWEGO OR 97035
William A Furman officer: Chairman & CEO ONE CENTERPOINTE DR, SUITE 200, LAKE OSWEGO OR 97035
William J. Krueger officer: President, GMO THE GREENBRIER COMPANIES, INC., ONE CENTERPOINTE DR., #200, LAKE OSWEGO OR 97035
Antonio O Garza director 500 W. ILLINOIS, SUITE 100, MIDLAND TX 79701
Brian J Comstock officer: EVP, Sales and Marketing 19262 S REDLAND ROAD, OREGON CITY OR 97045
Donald A Washburn director 222 SW HARRISON STREET, APT 23C, PORTLAND OR 97201
James R Huffines director C/O PLAINSCAPITAL CORPORATION, 2323 VICTORY AVENUE. SUITE 1400, DALLAS TX 75219
Alejandro Centurion officer: EVP and President, GMO ONE CENTERPOINTE AVE., STE. 200, LAKE OSWEGO OR 97035
Mark J Rittenbaum officer: EVP, Chief Comm & Leasing Off
Duane Charles Mcdougall director C/O INFOCUS CORP, 277008 SW PARKWAY AVE, WILSONVILLE OR 97070