Motus GI Holdings (Motus GI Holdings) Predictability Rank

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What is Motus GI Holdings Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Motus GI Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Motus GI Holdings (Motus GI Holdings) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Medical Devices & Instruments » Motus GI Holdings Inc (OTCPK:MOTS) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

1301 East Broward Boulevard, 3rd Floor, Fort Lauderdale, FL, USA, 33301

Website

https://www.motusgi.com

Motus GI Holdings Inc is a medical technology company dedicated to improving endoscopy outcomes, lowering costs and enhancing patient experiences. The company has developed the Pure-Vu System, a medical device that has been cleared by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (the "FDA") to help facilitate the cleansing of a poorly prepared gastrointestinal tract during colonoscopy and to help facilitate upper gastrointestinal ("GI") endoscopy procedures. The Pure-Vu System is also CE marked in the European Economic Area (EEA) for use in colonoscopy.

Executives

Orchestra Biomed Holdings, Inc.	10 percent owner	150 UNION SQUARE DRIVE, NEW HOPE PA 18938
Scott Durbin	director	PO BOX 376, ANN ARBOR MI 48106
Elad Amor	officer: Chief Accounting Officer	MOTUS GI HOLDINGS, INC., 1301 EAST BROWARD BLVD, 3RD FLOOR, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33301
Ravit Ram	officer: Chief Financial Officer	MOTUS GI HOLDINGS, INC., 1301 EAST BROWARD BLVD, 3RD FLOOR, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33301
Timothy P. Moran	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O MOTUS GI HOLDINGS, INC., 1301 EAST BROWARD BLVD, 3RD FLOOR, FT. LAUDERDALE FL 33301
Andrew Lawrence Taylor	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O MOTUS GI HOLDINGS, INC., 1301 EAST BROWARD BLVD, 3RD FLOOR, FT. LAUDERDALE FL 33301
Mark Pomeranz	director, officer: President and COO	C/O MOTUS GI HOLDINGS, INC., 1301 EAST BROWARD BLVD, 3RD FLOOR, FT. LAUDERDALE FL 33301
Sonja Nelson	director	C/O MOTUS GI HOLDINGS, INC., 1301 EAST BROWARD BOULEVARD, 3RD FLOOR, FT. LAUDERDALE FL 33301
Oracle Partners Lp	other: * See Remarks	200 GREENWICH AVE, 3RD FL, GREENWICH CT 06830
Larry N Feinberg	other: * See Remarks	C/O ORACLE PARTNERS L P, 200 GREENWICH AVENUE, GREENWICH CT 06830
Perceptive Life Sciences Master Fund Ltd	10 percent owner	C/O PERCEPTIVE ADVISORS LLC, 51 ASTOR PLACE, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Darren Sherman	director	C/O MOTUS GI HOLDINGS, INC., 1301 EAST BROWARD BLVD, 3RD FLOOR, FT. LAUDERDALE FL 33301
David P Hochman	director, other: Chairman of the Board	15 WESTON HILL RD., RIVERSIDE CT 06878
Nussbaum Samuel R Md	director	WELLPOINT, INC, 120 MONUMENT CIRCLE, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204
Shervin J Korangy	director	850 PARK AVENUE, APT. 12B, NEW YORK NY 10075