Corebridge Financial (Corebridge Financial) Predictability Rank

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What is Corebridge Financial Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Corebridge Financial Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Corebridge Financial (Corebridge Financial) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Asset Management » Corebridge Financial Inc (NYSE:CRBG) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

AS5:Germany

Address

2919 Allen Parkway, Woodson Tower, Houston, TX, USA, 77019

Website

https://www.corebridgefinancial.com

Corebridge Financial Inc provides retirement solutions and insurance products in the United States. It offers a broad set of products and services through five segments namely Individual Retirement, Group Retirement, Life Insurance, Institutional Markets businesses, Corporate and Other.

Executives

American International Group, Inc.	10 percent owner	1271 AVE OF THE AMERICAS, FL 37, NEW YORK NY 10020-1304
John P Byrne	officer: Pres of Financial Distributors	7428 FOXBURG COURT, CLARKSTON MI 48348
Timothy M Heslin	officer: President of Life Insurance	4401 FARRISWOOD DR., NASHVILLE TN 37204
Bryan A Pinsky	officer: Pres of Individual Retirement	405 10TH ST., MANHATTAN BEACH CA 90266
Caldwell Steven Douglas Jr	officer: Chief Risk Officer	39 GRAMERCY PARK N APT 1BC, NEW YORK NY 10010
Christopher Brian Smith	officer: Chief Operating Officer	42 WADE DRIVE, SUMMIT NJ 07901
Lisa Longino	officer: Chief Investment Officer	C/O COREBRIDGE FINANCIAL, INC., 2919 ALLEN PARKWAY, WOODSON TOWER, HOUSTON TX 77019
Hunter Constance	officer: Head of Strategy	1271 AVE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10020-1304
Katherine Ann Anderson	officer: Chief Risk Officer	C/O COREBRIDGE FINANCIAL, INC., 21650 OXNARD STREET, SUITE 750, WOODLAND HILLS CA 91367
Elizabeth Palmer	officer: Chief Marketing Officer	C/O COREBRIDGE FINANCIAL, INC., 21650 OXNARD STREET, SUITE 750, WOODLAND HILLS CA 91367
Alan Leonard Smith	officer: Chief Human Resources Officer	C/O COREBRIDGE FINANCIAL, INC., 21650 OXNARD STREET, SUITE 750, WOODLAND HILLS CA 91367
Terri N Fiedler	officer: President Retirement Services	C/O COREBRIDGE FINANCIAL, INC., 21650 OXNARD STREET, SUITE 750, WOODLAND HILLS NY 91367
Todd P Solash	officer: President, IR and Life	C/O COREBRIDGE FINANCIAL, INC., 21650 OXNARD STREET, SUITE 750, WOODLAND HILLS CA 91367
Jonathan J Novak	officer: President of IM	C/O COREBRIDGE FINANCIAL, INC., 21650 OXNARD STREET, SUITE 750, WOODLAND HILLS CA 91367
Mia W Tarpey	officer: Chief Operating Officer	C/O COREBRIDGE FINANCIAL, INC., 21650 OXNARD STREET, SUITE 750, WOODLAND HILLS CA 91367