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Nutrien (TSX:NTR) Beneish M-Score : -2.65 (As of May. 24, 2024)


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What is Nutrien Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.65 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Nutrien's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TSX:NTR' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.02   Med: -2.61   Max: 3.62
Current: -2.65

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Nutrien was 3.62. The lowest was -3.02. And the median was -2.61.


Nutrien Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Nutrien's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Nutrien Beneish M-Score Chart

Nutrien Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.72 -2.67 -2.25 -2.41 -2.66

Nutrien Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.55 -2.72 -2.61 -2.66 -2.65

Competitive Comparison of Nutrien's Beneish M-Score

For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, Nutrien's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nutrien's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Agriculture Industry

For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, Nutrien's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nutrien's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Nutrien Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Nutrien for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.1586+0.528 * 1.3531+0.404 * 1.026+0.892 * 0.7902+0.115 * 0.9291
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2926+4.679 * -0.060815-0.327 * 0.9421
=-2.65

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was C$7,527 Mil.
Revenue was 7294.55 + 7598.822 + 7619.306 + 15483.504 = C$37,996 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2080.483 + 2371.949 + 2201.494 + 4206.348 = C$10,860 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$20,507 Mil.
Total Assets was C$72,519 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$30,334 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$3,008 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$5,493 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$17,766 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$13,460 Mil.
Net Income was 213.869 + 230.755 + 101.482 + 584.584 = C$1,131 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -125.885 + -233.438 + -208.377 + -1145.253 = C$-1,713 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -659.203 + 5567.64 + -634.604 + 2980.05 = C$7,254 Mil.
Total Receivables was C$8,222 Mil.
Revenue was 8356.208 + 10233.58 + 10921.973 + 18573.482 = C$48,085 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2617.558 + 3947.801 + 4351.182 + 7681.12 = C$18,598 Mil.
Total Current Assets was C$25,000 Mil.
Total Assets was C$77,435 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was C$29,873 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was C$2,733 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was C$5,378 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was C$21,174 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was C$14,217 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(7527.37 / 37996.182) / (8222.115 / 48085.243)
=0.198109 / 0.17099
=1.1586

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(18597.661 / 48085.243) / (10860.274 / 37996.182)
=0.386764 / 0.285825
=1.3531

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (20507.04 + 30334.176) / 72519.12) / (1 - (25000.209 + 29872.726) / 77434.834)
=0.298927 / 0.291366
=1.026

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=37996.182 / 48085.243
=0.7902

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2733.33 / (2733.33 + 29872.726)) / (3008.401 / (3008.401 + 30334.176))
=0.083829 / 0.090227
=0.9291

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(5493.38 / 37996.182) / (5378.353 / 48085.243)
=0.144577 / 0.11185
=1.2926

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((13460.198 + 17766) / 72519.12) / ((14216.637 + 21174.442) / 77434.834)
=0.430593 / 0.457043
=0.9421

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1130.69 - -1712.953 - 7253.883) / 72519.12
=-0.060815

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Nutrien has a M-score of -2.65 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Nutrien Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Nutrien (TSX:NTR) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
211 19th Street East, Suite 1700, Saskatoon, SK, CAN, S7K 5R6
Created in 2018 as a result of the merger between PotashCorp and Agrium, Nutrien is the world's largest fertilizer producer by capacity. Nutrien produces the three main crop nutrients--nitrogen, potash, and phosphate--although its main focus is potash, where it is the global leader in installed capacity with a roughly 20% market share. The company is also the largest agricultural retailer in the United States, selling fertilizers, crop chemicals, seeds, and services directly to farm customers through its brick-and-mortar stores and online platforms.
Executives
Noralee Bradley Senior Officer

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