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Formosa Petrochemical (TPE:6505) Beneish M-Score : -2.98 (As of May. 27, 2024)


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What is Formosa Petrochemical Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.98 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Formosa Petrochemical's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

TPE:6505' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.4   Med: -2.39   Max: 5.42
Current: -2.98

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Formosa Petrochemical was 5.42. The lowest was -5.40. And the median was -2.39.


Formosa Petrochemical Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Formosa Petrochemical's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Formosa Petrochemical Beneish M-Score Chart

Formosa Petrochemical Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.50 -2.38 -2.43 0.30 -3.03

Formosa Petrochemical Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.42 -5.40 -2.25 -3.03 -2.98

Competitive Comparison of Formosa Petrochemical's Beneish M-Score

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Formosa Petrochemical's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Formosa Petrochemical's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Formosa Petrochemical's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Formosa Petrochemical's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Formosa Petrochemical Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Formosa Petrochemical for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.145+0.528 * 0.1495+0.404 * 1.2486+0.892 * 0.8253+0.115 * 1.0635
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.2923+4.679 * -0.020788-0.327 * 0.9554
=-2.98

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar24) TTM:Last Year (Mar23) TTM:
Total Receivables was NT$62,412 Mil.
Revenue was 171196.938 + 175878.253 + 192658.407 + 159397.25 = NT$699,131 Mil.
Gross Profit was 6066.351 + 2381.256 + 21180.268 + -3620.936 = NT$26,007 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NT$255,408 Mil.
Total Assets was NT$418,835 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NT$93,359 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NT$15,084 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NT$11,301 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NT$62,408 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NT$25,414 Mil.
Net Income was 5026.286 + 1454.558 + 17156.371 + -1157.583 = NT$22,480 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = NT$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 3604.34 + 11865.699 + 17083.002 + -1366.471 = NT$31,187 Mil.
Total Receivables was NT$66,049 Mil.
Revenue was 184642.284 + 194146.672 + 229064.626 + 239285.774 = NT$847,139 Mil.
Gross Profit was 7082.074 + -10155.198 + -13117.718 + 20902.791 = NT$4,712 Mil.
Total Current Assets was NT$262,802 Mil.
Total Assets was NT$415,779 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was NT$97,267 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was NT$16,887 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was NT$10,596 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was NT$61,795 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was NT$29,458 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(62412.196 / 699130.848) / (66048.969 / 847139.356)
=0.089271 / 0.077967
=1.145

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(4711.949 / 847139.356) / (26006.939 / 699130.848)
=0.005562 / 0.037199
=0.1495

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (255407.989 + 93358.97) / 418834.624) / (1 - (262802.112 + 97266.812) / 415778.542)
=0.167292 / 0.133989
=1.2486

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=699130.848 / 847139.356
=0.8253

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(16886.649 / (16886.649 + 97266.812)) / (15083.502 / (15083.502 + 93358.97))
=0.147929 / 0.139092
=1.0635

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(11301.035 / 699130.848) / (10596.331 / 847139.356)
=0.016164 / 0.012508
=1.2923

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((25413.552 + 62407.83) / 418834.624) / ((29457.688 + 61795.399) / 415778.542)
=0.20968 / 0.219475
=0.9554

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(22479.632 - 0 - 31186.57) / 418834.624
=-0.020788

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Formosa Petrochemical has a M-score of -2.98 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Formosa Petrochemical Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Formosa Petrochemical (TPE:6505) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 1-1, Formosa Plastics Industrial Park, Zhongxing Village, Mailiao Township, Yunlin County, Taipei, TWN, 638
Formosa Petrochemical Corp engages in refining crude oil, selling refined petroleum products, and producing and selling olefins. The firm operates in two segments. The Petrochemical segment that derives majority revenue engages in producing and selling petroleum, and petrochemical products. The Public utility segment engages in producing and selling water, electricity, and steam. Its product offerings comprise gasoline, jet fuel, kerosene, fuel oil, asphalt, sulfur, lubricant, diesel, naphtha, and liquid petroleum gas.

Formosa Petrochemical (TPE:6505) Headlines

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