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ORLY (O'Reilly Automotive) Beneish M-Score : -2.65 (As of Oct. 29, 2024)


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What is O'Reilly Automotive Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.65 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for O'Reilly Automotive's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ORLY' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.84   Med: -2.7   Max: -2.5
Current: -2.65

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of O'Reilly Automotive was -2.50. The lowest was -2.84. And the median was -2.70.


O'Reilly Automotive Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for O'Reilly Automotive's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

O'Reilly Automotive Beneish M-Score Chart

O'Reilly Automotive Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.54 -2.84 -2.76 -2.68 -2.67

O'Reilly Automotive Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.71 -2.67 -2.50 -2.52 -2.65

Competitive Comparison of O'Reilly Automotive's Beneish M-Score

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, O'Reilly Automotive's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


O'Reilly Automotive's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, O'Reilly Automotive's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where O'Reilly Automotive's Beneish M-Score falls into.



O'Reilly Automotive Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of O'Reilly Automotive for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9499+0.528 * 0.9988+0.404 * 1.0171+0.892 * 1.0525+0.115 * 0.9547
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0185+4.679 * -0.03908-0.327 * 0.9706
=-2.65

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Sep24) TTM:Last Year (Sep23) TTM:
Total Receivables was $556 Mil.
Revenue was 4364.437 + 4272.201 + 3976.24 + 3832.015 = $16,445 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2251.225 + 2168.06 + 2034.172 + 1967.429 = $8,421 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $5,698 Mil.
Total Assets was $14,578 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $7,706 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $452 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $5,190 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $8,185 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $7,298 Mil.
Net Income was 665.464 + 622.848 + 547.238 + 552.504 = $2,388 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 4.304 + 1.561 + 3.401 + 6.963 = $16 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 772.015 + 948.859 + 704.215 + 516.429 = $2,942 Mil.
Total Receivables was $556 Mil.
Revenue was 4203.38 + 4068.991 + 3707.864 + 3644.493 = $15,625 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2160.463 + 2086.582 + 1890.329 + 1853.954 = $7,991 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $5,378 Mil.
Total Assets was $13,552 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $7,102 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $396 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $4,841 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $7,831 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $6,998 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(556.25 / 16444.893) / (556.381 / 15624.728)
=0.033825 / 0.035609
=0.9499

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(7991.328 / 15624.728) / (8420.886 / 16444.893)
=0.511454 / 0.512067
=0.9988

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (5698.287 + 7706.311) / 14577.522) / (1 - (5377.712 + 7102.061) / 13551.838)
=0.080461 / 0.079108
=1.0171

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=16444.893 / 15624.728
=1.0525

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(396.468 / (396.468 + 7102.061)) / (451.802 / (451.802 + 7706.311))
=0.052873 / 0.055381
=0.9547

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(5189.643 / 16444.893) / (4841.471 / 15624.728)
=0.315578 / 0.30986
=1.0185

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((7297.972 + 8185.165) / 14577.522) / ((6998.341 + 7831.082) / 13551.838)
=1.062124 / 1.094274
=0.9706

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(2388.054 - 16.229 - 2941.518) / 14577.522
=-0.03908

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

O'Reilly Automotive has a M-score of -2.65 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


O'Reilly Automotive Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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O'Reilly Automotive Business Description

Address
233 South Patterson Avenue, Springfield, MO, USA, 65802
O'Reilly is an aftermarket automotive parts retailer in the United States and Mexico with about $16 billion in annual sales. The company operates over 6,000 domestic stores and serves both the do-it-yourself (about 55% of sales) and professional (45% of sales) end markets. Despite operating amid a highly fragmented industry, O'Reilly differentiates itself by providing quality service to its customers throughout the entirety of the vehicle diagnosis and purchasing process. Furthermore, the firm boasts an impressive hub-and-spoke distribution network designed to provide its localized store base with ample aftermarket product availability across a variety of vehicle makes and models.
Executives
Christopher Andrew Mancini officer: SVP OF CENTRAL STORE OPS/SALES 233 SOUTH PATTERSON AVENUE, SPRINGFIELD MO 65802
Lawrence P Oreilly director 233 S PATTERSON AVE, SPRINGFIELD MO 65802
David E Oreilly officer: Chief Executive Officer 233 SOUTH PATTERSON, SPRINGFIELD MO 65802
De Wild Tamara F. officer: SVP OF LEGAL & GENERAL COUNSEL 233 S PATTERSON AVE, SPRINGFIELD MO 65802
Carl David Wilbanks officer: SVP OF MERCHANDISE 233 SOUTH PATTERSON AVE, SPRINGFIELD MO 65802
Dana Perlman director C/O 200 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10016
Gregory D Johnson officer: SVP of Distribution 233 SOUTH PATTERSON, SPRINGFIELD MO 65802
Philip M Hopper officer: SVP OF REAL ESTATE 233 SOUTH PATTERSON AVENUE, SPRINGFIELD MO 65802
Mark Joseph Merz officer: SVP OF FINANCE 233 SOUTH PATTERSON AVENUE, SPRINGFIELD MO 65802
Gregory L Henslee officer: Co-President 233 S PATTERSON, SPRINGFIELD MO 65802
Brad W Beckham officer: SVP OF EASTERN STORE OPS/SALES 233 SOUTH PATTERSON AVENUE, SPRINGFIELD MO 65802
Doug D Bragg officer: SVP OF CENTRAL STORE OPS/SALES 233 SOUTH PATTERSON AVE, SPRINGFIELD MO 65802
Robert Allen Dumas officer: SVP OF EASTERN STORE OPS/SALES 233 S PATTERSON AVE, SPRINGFIELD MO 65802
John Raymond Murphy director 233 S PATTERSON AVE, SPRINGFIELD MO 65802
Charles Francis Rogers officer: SVP OF PRO SALES & OPS SUPPORT 233 SOUTH PATTERSON AVENUE, SPRINGFIELD MO 65802