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The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Good Sign:
Beneish M-Score -2.83 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
The historical rank and industry rank for The GEO Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of The GEO Group was -1.46. The lowest was -3.25. And the median was -2.56.
The historical data trend for The GEO Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
The GEO Group Annual Data | |||||||||||||||||||||
Trend | Dec14 | Dec15 | Dec16 | Dec17 | Dec18 | Dec19 | Dec20 | Dec21 | Dec22 | Dec23 | |||||||||||
Beneish M-Score | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | -3.07 | -1.77 | -2.79 | -2.53 | -3.05 |
The GEO Group Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sep19 | Dec19 | Mar20 | Jun20 | Sep20 | Dec20 | Mar21 | Jun21 | Sep21 | Dec21 | Mar22 | Jun22 | Sep22 | Dec22 | Mar23 | Jun23 | Sep23 | Dec23 | Mar24 | Jun24 | |
Beneish M-Score | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | -2.78 | -2.99 | -3.05 | -2.99 | -2.83 |
For the Security & Protection Services subindustry, The GEO Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, The GEO Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where The GEO Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of The GEO Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
= | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 1.1014 | + | 0.528 * 0.571 | + | 0.404 * 1.0003 | + | 0.892 * 0.9936 | + | 0.115 * 1.0011 | |
- | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI | |||||||
- | 0.172 * 1.0763 | + | 4.679 * -0.04406 | - | 0.327 * 0.972 | |||||||
= | -2.83 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
This Year (Jun24) TTM: | Last Year (Jun23) TTM: |
Total Receivables was $384 Mil. Revenue was 607.185 + 605.672 + 608.282 + 602.785 = $2,424 Mil. Gross Profit was 607.185 + 163.997 + 608.282 + 602.785 = $1,982 Mil. Total Current Assets was $490 Mil. Total Assets was $3,644 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,015 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $125 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $204 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was $389 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,814 Mil. Net Income was -32.513 + 22.668 + 25.232 + 24.519 = $40 Mil. Non Operating Income was -85.246 + -0.039 + -5.445 + 1.183 = $-90 Mil. Cash Flow from Operations was 28.713 + 85.807 + 52.213 + 123.273 = $290 Mil. |
Total Receivables was $351 Mil. Revenue was 593.891 + 608.209 + 620.682 + 616.683 = $2,439 Mil. Gross Profit was 593.891 + 174.717 + 190.116 + 180.473 = $1,139 Mil. Total Current Assets was $452 Mil. Total Assets was $3,672 Mil. Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $2,073 Mil. Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $129 Mil. Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $191 Mil. Total Current Liabilities was $347 Mil. Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $1,937 Mil. |
1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
= | (384.072 / 2423.924) | / | (350.961 / 2439.465) | |
= | 0.158451 | / | 0.143868 | |
= | 1.1014 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
= | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) | |
= | (1139.197 / 2439.465) | / | (1982.249 / 2423.924) | |
= | 0.466986 | / | 0.817785 | |
= | 0.571 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | (1 - (490.413 + 2014.906) / 3643.988) | / | (1 - (451.976 + 2072.855) / 3671.889) | |
= | 0.312479 | / | 0.312389 | |
= | 1.0003 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
= | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 | |
= | 2423.924 | / | 2439.465 | |
= | 0.9936 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
= | (128.585 / (128.585 + 2072.855)) | / | (124.848 / (124.848 + 2014.906)) | |
= | 0.058409 | / | 0.058347 | |
= | 1.0011 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
= | (204.208 / 2423.924) | / | (190.942 / 2439.465) | |
= | 0.084247 | / | 0.078272 | |
= | 1.0763 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
= | ((1814.115 + 388.863) / 3643.988) | / | ((1936.698 + 347.208) / 3671.889) | |
= | 0.604551 | / | 0.621998 | |
= | 0.972 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
= | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t | |
= | (39.906 - -89.547 | - | 290.006) | / | 3643.988 | |
= | -0.04406 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
The GEO Group has a M-score of -2.83 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of The GEO Group's Beneish M-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
George C Zoley | director, officer: Chairman & CEO | C/O THE GEO GROUP, INC., 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431 |
Shayn P. March | officer: VP of Finance and Treasurer | C/O THE GEO GROUP, INC., 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431 |
Scott Michael Kernan | director | C/O THE GEO GROUP, INC., 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431 |
James H. Black | officer: SVP & Pres, Secure Services | 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431 |
Christopher D. Ryan | officer: Senior VP, Human Resources | 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431 |
Lindsay L. Koren | director | 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431 |
Matthew Albence | officer: Senior VP, Client Relations | 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431 |
Andrew N Shapiro | director | 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431 |
Thomas C. Bartzokis | director | 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431 |
Terry P. Mayotte | director | C/O TREAN INSURANCE GROUP, INC., 150 LAKE STREET WEST, WAYZATA MN 55391 |
Jack Brewer | director | 6200 EXCELSIOR BLVD., SUITE 104, ST. LOUIS PARK MN 55416 |
Anne N Foreman | director | C/O THE GEO GROUP, INC., 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431 |
Richard H Glanton | director | C/O THE GEO GROUP, INC., 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431 |
Duane Helkowski | director | 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431 |
Blake Davis | officer: Pres. GEO Secure Services | 4955 TECHNOLOGY WAY, BOCA RATON FL 33431 |
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