GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Retail - Cyclical » Guess? Inc (NYSE:GES) » Definitions » Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

Guess? (Guess?) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 17.90 (As of May. 24, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1996. Start your Free Trial

What is Guess? Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-05-24), Guess?'s current share price is $24.34. Guess?'s Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Jan. 2024 was $1.36. Guess?'s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 17.90.

The historical rank and industry rank for Guess?'s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

GES' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 4.14   Med: 13.35   Max: 23.14
Current: 17.37

During the past years, Guess?'s highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 23.14. The lowest was 4.14. And the median was 13.35.

GES's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than
63.79% of 428 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 12.71 vs GES: 17.37

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Guess?'s adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Jan. 2024 was $3.578. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $1.36 for the trailing ten years ended in Jan. 2024.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Guess? Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Guess?'s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Guess? Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

Guess? Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 14.58 15.35 16.75 17.37 16.38

Guess? Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 17.37 14.81 16.44 17.62 16.38

Competitive Comparison of Guess?'s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, Guess?'s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Guess?'s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Guess?'s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Guess?'s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Guess? Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

Guess?'s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=24.34/1.36
=17.90

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Guess?'s Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Jan. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, Guess?'s adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Jan. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Jan. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Jan. 2024)
=3.578/106.6427*106.6427
=3.578

Current CPI (Jan. 2024) = 106.6427.

Guess? Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201404 -0.207 101.294 -0.218
201407 0.183 101.137 0.193
201410 -0.662 101.245 -0.697
201501 1.652 100.270 1.757
201504 -0.029 100.157 -0.031
201507 0.401 99.846 0.428
201510 -0.087 99.868 -0.093
201601 0.854 99.000 0.920
201604 -0.581 99.804 -0.621
201607 -0.156 99.644 -0.167
201610 -0.422 99.656 -0.452
201701 0.933 99.346 1.002
201704 -0.588 100.241 -0.626
201707 -0.006 99.972 -0.006
201710 -0.610 100.314 -0.648
201801 2.017 100.081 2.149
201804 -1.084 101.046 -1.144
201807 0.232 101.202 0.244
201810 -0.675 101.425 -0.710
201901 1.107 100.642 1.173
201904 -1.431 101.762 -1.500
201907 0.797 101.517 0.837
201910 -0.290 101.168 -0.306
202001 3.178 100.845 3.361
202004 -1.028 100.680 -1.089
202007 1.505 100.583 1.596
202010 0.871 100.591 0.923
202101 1.653 100.296 1.758
202104 -0.952 101.010 -1.005
202107 1.274 101.266 1.342
202110 -0.872 101.840 -0.913
202201 1.578 101.950 1.651
202204 -1.119 103.584 -1.152
202207 0.478 104.743 0.487
202210 -0.647 104.891 -0.658
202301 2.533 105.296 2.565
202304 -0.552 106.241 -0.554
202307 0.608 106.424 0.609
202310 -0.342 106.667 -0.342
202401 3.578 106.643 3.578

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Guess?  (NYSE:GES) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


Guess? Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Guess?'s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Guess? (Guess?) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Strada Regina 44, Bioggio, CHE, CH-6934
Guess? Inc designs, markets distribute, and licenses contemporary apparel and accessories that reflect European fashion sensibilities under brands including Guess, Marciano, and G by Guess. The company has five reportable segments namely Americas Retail, Americas Wholesale, Europe, Asia, and licensing. It generates maximum revenue from the Europe segment.
Executives
Paul Marciano director, 10 percent owner, officer: Co-Chairman and Co-CEO C/O GUESS INC, 1444 S ALAMEDA ST, LOS ANGELES CA 90021
Maurice Marciano director, 10 percent owner, officer: Co-Chairman and Co-CEO 1444 SOUTH ALAMEDA STREET, LOS ANGELES CA 90021
Deborah Weinswig director C/O XCEL BRANDS, INC., 1333 BROADWAY, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10018
Markus Neubrand officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O GUESS?, INC., 1444 SOUTH ALAMEDA ST, LOS ANGELES CA 90021
Thomas Jr Barrack director C/O COLONY NORTHSTAR, INC., 515 S. FLOWER ST., 44TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Fabrice Benarouche officer: SVP Finance and IR, CAO C/O GUESS?, INC., 1444 S. ALAMEDA STREET, LOS ANGELES CA 90021
Anthony Chidoni director C/O GUESS INC, 1444 S ALAMEDA STREET, LOS ANGELES CA 90021
Dennis R Secor officer: Chief Financial Officer 901 S. CENTRAL EXPRESSWAY, RICHARDSON TX 75080
Carlos Alberini director, officer: CEO and Director C/O LUCKY BRAND, LLC, 540 SOUTH SANTA FE AVE., LOS ANGELES CA 90013
Alex Yemenidjian director, other: Chairman of the Board C/O GUESS?, INC., 1444 SOUTH ALAMEDA STREET, LOS ANGELES CA 90021
Cynthia R Livingston director C/O GUESS, INC, 1444 S. ALAMEDA STREET, LOS ANGELES CA 90021
Laurie Ann Goldman director 3344 PEACHTREE ROAD, SUITE 1700, ATLANTA GA 30326
Kathryn Low Anderson officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O GUESS?, INC., 1444 S. ALAMEDA STREET, LOS ANGELES CA 90021
Gianluca Bolla director C/O GUESS?, INC., 1444 SOUTH ALAMEDA STREET, LOS ANGELES CA 90021
Reddy Sandeep officer: CFO C/O GUESS?, INC., 1444 SOUTH ALAMEDA STREET, LOS ANGELES CA 90021