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Costco Wholesale (BUE:COST) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : ARS270.35 (As of May. 2024)


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What is Costco Wholesale Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Costco Wholesale's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in May. 2024 was ARS15,266.849. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is ARS270.35 for the trailing ten years ended in May. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Costco Wholesale's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 13.80% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 14.60% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 15.00% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 13.70% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Costco Wholesale was 44.80% per year. The lowest was -3.80% per year. And the median was 14.90% per year.

As of today (2024-06-12), Costco Wholesale's current stock price is ARS20793.50. Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in May. 2024 was ARS270.35. Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 76.91.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Costco Wholesale was 80.66. The lowest was 36.03. And the median was 47.01.


Costco Wholesale Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Costco Wholesale Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Costco Wholesale Annual Data
Trend Aug14 Aug15 Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.70 206.63 112.61 212.35 159.09

Costco Wholesale Quarterly Data
Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 94.29 159.09 183.67 237.54 270.35

Competitive Comparison of Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Discount Stores subindustry, Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Costco Wholesale Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Costco Wholesale's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in May. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of May. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (May. 2024)
=15266.849/131.7762*131.7762
=15,266.849

Current CPI (May. 2024) = 131.7762.

Costco Wholesale Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201408 -26.796 100.352 -35.187
201411 44.128 99.635 58.363
201502 22.692 99.032 30.195
201505 135.469 100.333 177.924
201508 18.730 100.548 24.547
201511 8.405 100.135 11.061
201602 23.455 100.040 30.896
201605 181.198 101.355 235.583
201608 -137.690 101.617 -178.556
201611 290.967 101.829 376.537
201702 -3.230 102.779 -4.141
201705 156.042 103.256 199.143
201708 166.218 103.587 211.451
201711 187.419 104.072 237.310
201802 -72.888 105.052 -91.430
201805 282.351 106.148 350.522
201808 123.101 106.383 152.485
201811 469.186 106.338 581.428
201902 -271.631 106.649 -335.629
201905 572.897 108.048 698.710
201908 506.838 108.245 617.021
201911 744.768 108.519 904.384
202002 40.198 109.139 48.536
202005 720.450 108.175 877.632
202008 2,206.677 109.662 2,651.666
202011 1,141.631 109.793 1,370.208
202102 -421.649 110.968 -500.713
202105 1,940.616 113.576 2,251.590
202108 1,553.309 115.421 1,773.417
202111 1,978.421 117.269 2,223.165
202202 -304.315 119.703 -335.009
202205 386.710 123.323 413.218
202208 1,479.604 124.958 1,560.341
202211 2,197.031 125.607 2,304.931
202302 3,879.792 126.928 4,027.999
202305 1,443.493 128.314 1,482.437
202308 5,387.801 129.538 5,480.914
202311 11,375.685 129.548 11,571.336
202402 -944.338 130.930 -950.442
202405 15,266.849 131.776 15,266.849

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Costco Wholesale  (BUE:COST) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=20793.50/270.35
=76.91

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Costco Wholesale was 80.66. The lowest was 36.03. And the median was 47.01.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Costco Wholesale Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Costco Wholesale (BUE:COST) Business Description

Address
999 Lake Drive, Issaquah, WA, USA, 98027
Costco operates a membership-based, no-frills retail model, predicated on offering a select product assortment in bulk quantities at bargain prices. The firm avoids maintaining costly product displays by keeping inventory on pallets and limits distribution expenses by storing its inventory at point of sale in the warehouse. Given Costco's frugal cost structure, the firm is able to price its merchandise below competing retailers, driving high sales volume per warehouse and allowing the retailer to generate strong profits on thin margins. Costco operates nearly 600 warehouses in the United States and boasts over 60% market share in the domestic warehouse club industry. Internationally, Costco operates another 270 warehouses, primarily in markets such as Canada, Mexico, Japan, and the U.K.