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TRIP (Tripadvisor) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of Oct. 29, 2024)


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What is Tripadvisor Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Tripadvisor's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Tripadvisor's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Travel Services subindustry, Tripadvisor's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tripadvisor's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Tripadvisor's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tripadvisor's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Tripadvisor Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.73

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Tripadvisor  (NAS:TRIP) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Tripadvisor Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Tripadvisor Business Description

Industry
Address
400 1st Avenue, Needham, MA, USA, 02494
Tripadvisor is the world's leading travel metasearch company. Its platform offers 1 billion reviews and information on about 8 million accommodations, restaurants, experiences, airlines, and cruises. In 2023, 58% of revenue came from the company's core Brand Tripadvisor segment, which includes hotel revenue generated through advertising on its metasearch platform. Viator, its experiences brand, was 41% of sales in 2023, and TheFork, its dining brand, represented 9% of revenue (about 8% of sales were intersegment, which are eliminated from consolidated revenue).
Executives
Seth J Kalvert officer: SVP, GC, Sec. C/O TRIPADVISOR, INC., 141 NEEDHAM STREET, NEWTON MA 02464
Michael Noonan officer: CFO & SVP C/O TRIPADVISOR, INC., 400 1ST AVENUE, NEEDHAM MA 02494
Geoffrey Gouvalaris other: Chief Accounting Officer 400 1ST AVENUE, NEEDHAM MA 02494
Ernst 02494 Teunissen officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O TRIPADVISOR, INC., 400 1ST AVENUE, NEEDHAM HEIGHTS MA 02494
Matt Goldberg director, officer: CEO and President 2 WISCONSIN CIRCLE, 7TH FLOOR, CHEVY CHASE MD 20815
Jay C Hoag director 250 MIDDLEFIELD ROAD, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Gregory B Maffei director 12300 LIBERTY BLVD, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Kanika Soni officer: Chief Commercial Officer C/O TRIPADVISOR INC., 400 1ST AVENUE, NEEDHAM MA 02494
Liberty Tripadvisor Holdings, Inc. 10 percent owner 12300 LIBERTY BLVD, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Jie Sun director BUILDING 16#, NO. 968 JIN ZHONG ROAD, SHANGHAI F4 200335
Lindsay Nelson officer: Chief Experience&Brand Officer C/O TRIPADVISOR INC., 400 FIRST AVENUE, NEEDHAM MA 02494
Pemrose Corp director 350 MADISON AVENUE 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Certares Ltrip Llc director 350 MADISON AVENUE 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Certares Holdings (blockable) Llc director 350 MADISON AVENUE 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Certares Holdings Llc director 350 MADISON AVENUE 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017