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Smartsheet (Smartsheet) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.05% (As of Jun. 08, 2024)


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What is Smartsheet Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Smartsheet's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Smartsheet's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Software - Application subindustry, Smartsheet's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Smartsheet's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Smartsheet's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Smartsheet's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Smartsheet Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.66

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.05%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Smartsheet  (NYSE:SMAR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Smartsheet Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Smartsheet (Smartsheet) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Smartsheet Inc (NYSE:SMAR) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
500 108th Avenue North East, Suite 200, Bellevue, WA, USA, 98004
Smartsheet is a provider of collaborative work management software delivered via a cloud-based, software-as-a-service model. The firm's solution offers scalable, dynamic tools to improve the efficiency of project and process management across countless use cases. Smartsheet's offering supports workflow management across teams, provides real-time visibility into projects, and reporting and automation capabilities. The firm generates revenue via software subscriptions on a per-user basis, and incremental charges for added platform capabilities.
Executives
Jolene Lau Marshall officer: Chief Legal Officer C/O SMARTSHEET INC., 10500 NE 8TH STREET, #1, BELLEVUE WA 98004
Michael Arntz officer: Chief Revenue Officer C/O SMARTSHEET INC., 10500 NE 8TH ST, STE 1300, BELLEVUE WA 98004
Pete Godbole officer: CFO & Treasurer C/O SMARTSHEET INC., 10500 NE 8TH ST. #1, BELLEVUE WA 98004
Alissa Jamese Abdullah director C/O SMARTSHEET INC., 10500 NE 8TH ST. #1300, BELLEVUE WA 98004
Mark Patrick Mader director, officer: President and CEO 3514 45TH AVE NE, SEATTLE WA 98105
James N White director 755 PAGE MILL ROAD, SUITE A-200, PALO ALTO CA 94304-1005
Geoffrey T Barker director 1 MARKET PLAZA, STEUART TOWER, SUITE 800, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Khozema Shipchandler director C/O PIVOTAL SOFTWARE, INC., 875 HOWARD STREET, FIFTH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Michael P Gregoire director C/O CA, INC., ONE CA PLAZA, ISLANDIA NY 11749
Stephen Robert Branstetter officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O SMARTSHEET INC., 10500 NE 8TH STREET, #1, BELLEVUE WA 98004
Elena Gomez director TOAST, INC., 401 PARK DRIVE, BOSTON MA 02215
Megan Hansen officer: Chief People & Culture Officer C/O SMARTSHEET INC., 10500 NE 8TH ST. #1300, BELLEVUE WA 98004
Dennis M Durkin director C/O ACTIVISION BLIZZARD, INC., 3100 OCEAN PARK BLVD, SANTA MONICA CA 90405
Andrew Lee Bennett officer: Chief Marketing Officer C/O SMARTSHEET INC., 10500 NE 8TH STREET, #1, BELLEVUE WA 98004
Matthew S Mcilwain director 1000 SECOND AVENUE, SUITE 3700, SEATTLE WA 98104