GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Industrial Products » Qualstar Corp (OTCPK:QBAK) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

QBAK (Qualstar) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of Dec. 03, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2000. Start your Free Trial

What is Qualstar Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Qualstar's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Qualstar's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Electrical Equipment & Parts subindustry, Qualstar's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Qualstar's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Qualstar's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Qualstar's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Qualstar Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Qualstar  (OTCPK:QBAK) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Qualstar Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Qualstar's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Qualstar Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
15707 Rockfield Boulevard, Suite 105, Irvine, CA, USA, 92618
Qualstar Corp is a U.S based provider of data storage systems marketed under the Qualstar brand and of power solutions marketed under the N2Power brand. The company's segments include Power Supplies and Data Storage. Under the Power Supplies segment, it designs, manufactures and sells open frame switching power supplies. Under the Data Storage segment, it designs, manufactures and sells automated magnetic tape libraries used to store, retrieve and manage electronic data in network computing environments. The company has geographical presence in North America, Europe, Asia Pacific and Others. The company generates the majority of its revenue from Data Storage segment.
Executives
Joy C. Hou director C/O QUALSTAR CORPORATION, 1267 FLYNN ROAD, CAMARILLO CA 93012
Steven N Bronson director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer
William J Gervais 10 percent owner 1925 ANGUS AVENUE, UNIT B, SIMI VALLEY CA 93063
Leonard Hagan director 650 THOMAS AVENUE, BALDWIN NY 11510
Bkf Capital Group Inc 10 percent owner 1 JENNER, SUITE 200, IRVINE CA 92618
Bkf Asset Holdings, Inc. 10 percent owner 3990-B HERITAGE OAK COURT, SIMI VALLEY CA 93063
David John Wolenski director 5328 W. BURGUNDY PL., LITTLETON CO 80123
Nicholas Yarymovych director 1716 ADDISON ROAD, PALOS VERDES ESTATES CA 90274
Louann Negrete officer: Chief Financial Officer 31248 OAK CREST DR. SUITE 120, WESTLAKE VILLAGE CA 91361
Miller Lloyd I Iii 10 percent owner
Sean Michael Leder director 31248 OAK CREST DRIVE, SUITE 120, WEST LAKE VILLAGE CA 91361
Jan Daniel Ko Chieh officer: Executive Vice President 4401 MAR ESCARPA, SAN CLEMENTE CA 92673
William J Lurie officer: VP Engineering 3990-B HERITAGE OAK CT., SIMI VALLEY CA 93063
Dale Edward Wallis director 2221 SW 118TH STREET, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73170
Alan B Howe director 1155 KAS DRIVE SUITE 100, RICHARDSON TX 75081