What is Questcor Pharmaceuticals Probability of Financial Distress (%)?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Questcor Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Competitive Comparison of Questcor Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%)
For the Biotechnology subindustry, Questcor Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Questcor Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry
For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Questcor Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Questcor Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Questcor Pharmaceuticals Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
| LPFD | = | -20.12 * NIMTAAVG | + | 1.60 * TLMTA | - | 7.88 * EXRETAVG | + | 1.55 * SIGMA | - | 0.005 * RSIZE | - | 2.27 * CASHMTA | + | 0.070 * MB | - | 0.09 * PRICE | - | 8.87 |
| = | 0.00 |
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
| PFD | = | 1 | / | (1 + e^(-LPFD)) | * | 100% |
| = | 0.00% |
The eight explanatory variables are:
1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets
*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.
2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets
3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets
For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
6. RSIZE = Relative Size
| RSIZE | = | log (Market Cap | / | Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies) |
7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio
8. PRICE
PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).
Questcor Pharmaceuticals Business Description
Traded in Other Exchanges
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Questcor Pharmaceuticals, Inc was incorporated in California in September 1992 as Cypros Pharmaceutical Corporation. In November 1999. The Company changed its name to Questcor Pharmaceuticals, Inc. The Company is a biopharmaceutical company focused on providing prescription drugs for central nervous system disorders. It is presently building a core portfolio of both marketed and development-stage products that address significant unmet medical needs. The Company seeks to develop and commercialize its own proprietary products, and is open to a range of partnering concepts in order to leverage its assets and build its portfolio. It markets H.P. Acthar Gel, an injectable drug that is approved for the treatment of certain disorders with an inflammatory component, including the treatment of exacerbations associated with multiple sclerosis, and the treatment of nephrotic syndrome. H.P. Acthar Gel is not indicated for, but is also used in treating patients with infantile spasms, a rare form of refractory childhood epilepsy, and opsoclonus myoclonus syndrome, a rare autoimmune-related childhood neurological disorder. The company also markets Doral, which is indicated for the treatment of insomnia characterized by difficulty in falling asleep, frequent nocturnal awakenings, and/or early morning awakenings. It owns the worldwide rights for Acthar and the U.S. rights for Doral.
Questcor Pharmaceuticals Headlines
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