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Biomarin Pharmaceutical (Biomarin Pharmaceutical) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Jun. 07, 2024)


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What is Biomarin Pharmaceutical Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Biomarin Pharmaceutical's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Biomarin Pharmaceutical's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Biomarin Pharmaceutical's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Biomarin Pharmaceutical's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Biomarin Pharmaceutical's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Biomarin Pharmaceutical's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Biomarin Pharmaceutical Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.09

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Biomarin Pharmaceutical  (NAS:BMRN) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Biomarin Pharmaceutical Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Biomarin Pharmaceutical (Biomarin Pharmaceutical) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
770 Lindaro Street, San Rafael, CA, USA, 94901
BioMarin's focus is on rare-disease therapies. Genzyme (now part of Sanofi) markets Aldurazyme through its joint venture with BioMarin, and BioMarin markets Naglazyme, Vimizim, and Brineura independently. BioMarin also markets Kuvan and Palynziq to treat the rare metabolic disorder PKU (in addition to long-standing U.S. rights, BioMarin has reacquired international rights for Kuvan and Palynziq from Merck KGaA). Voxzogo (vosoritide) was approved in achondroplasia in 2021. BioMarin's Roctavian (hemophilia A gene therapy) was approved in Europe in 2022 and in the U.S. in 2023.
Executives
Jean Jacques Bienaime director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 925 PAGE MILL ROAD, PALO ALTO CA 94304
George Eric Davis officer: VP, General Counsel C/O BIOMARIN PHARMACEUTICAL INC., 105 DIGITAL DRIVE, NOVATO CA 94949
Jeffrey Robert Ajer officer: EVP, Chief Commercial Officer C/O BIOMARIN PHARMACEUTICAL INC., 105 DIGITAL DRIVE, NOVATO CA 94949
Henry J Fuchs officer: Chief Medical Officer C/O BIOMARIN PHARMACEUTICAL INC., 105 DIGITAL DRIVE, NOVATO CA 94949
Charles Greg Guyer officer: EVP, Chief Technical Officer C/O BIOMARIN PHARMACEUTICAL INC., 770 LINDARO ST., SAN RAFAEL CA 94901
Brian Mueller officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer C/O BIOMARIN PHARMACEUTICAL INC., 105 DIGITAL DRIVE, NOVATO CA 94949
Mark J Alles director C/O CELGENE CORPORATION, 86 MORRIS AVENUE, SUMMIT NJ 07901
Elizabeth M Anderson director 10 FINDERNE AVENUE, BUILDING 10, BRIDGEWATER NJ 08807
Maykin Ho director C/O AGIOS PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 88 SIDNEY STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
Erin Burkhart officer: GVP, Chief Accounting Officer C/O BIOMARIN PHARMACEUTICAL INC., 770 LINDARO ST., SAN RAFAEL CA 94901
V Bryan Lawlis director
Richard A Meier director C/O INTERSECT ENT, INC., 1555 ADAMS DRIVE, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Dennis Slamon director 770 LINDARO STREET, SAN RAFAEL CA 94901
Michael G Grey director C/O SGX PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 10505 ROSELLE STREET, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Pyott David E I director C/O ALLERGAN, 2525 DUPONT DRIVE, IRVINE CA 92612

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