Waitr Holdings (Waitr Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 99.01% (As of Jun. 08, 2024)

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What is Waitr Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Waitr Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 99.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Waitr Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Internet Retail subindustry, Waitr Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Waitr Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Waitr Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Waitr Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

Waitr Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

4.60

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	99.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Waitr Holdings (OTCPK:ASAPQ) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Waitr Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Waitr Holdings (Waitr Holdings) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Retail - Cyclical » Waitr Holdings Inc (OTCPK:ASAPQ) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

1OW0:Germany

Address

214 Jefferson Street, Suite 200, Lafayette, LA, USA, 70501

Website

https://www.waitrapp.com

Waitr Holdings Inc operates an online ordering technology platform that provides delivery, carryout, and dine-in options, connecting restaurants, merchants, drivers, and diners in certain cities in the United States. It partners with independent local restaurants and regional and national chains in small and mid-size markets. Its platform uses the deliver anything ASAP model making it easy for consumers to order food, alcohol, convenience, grocery, flowers, auto parts, and more, and includes proprietary in-stadium mobile ordering technology. It has two reportable segments Delivery Services Segment and Third-Party Payment Processing Referral Services Segment, and the majority of the revenue comes from the Delivery Services Segment.

Executives

Jonathan Green	director	C/O LANDCADIA HOLDINGS, INC., 1510 WEST LOOP SOUTH, HOUSTON TX 77027
Luxor Capital Group, Lp	10 percent owner	7 TIMES SQUARE, 43RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Buford H Ortale	director	104 WRAUDMONT BOULEVARD, SUITE 240, NASHVILLE TN 37205
Lcg Holdings Llc	10 percent owner	7 TIMES SQUARE, 43RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Luxor Capital Partners Offshore Ltd	10 percent owner	C/O MAPLES CORPORATE SERVICES LTD., PO BOX 309, UGLAND HOUSE, GEORGE TOWN E9 KY1-1104
Luxor Wavefront, Lp	10 percent owner	7 TIMES SQUARE, 43RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Luxor Capital Partners, Lp	10 percent owner	7 TIMES SQUARE, 43RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Lugard Road Capital Gp, Llc	10 percent owner	1114 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 28TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Jdaniel Schmidt	director	214 JEFFERSON ST, SUITE 200, LAFAYETTE LA 70501
Timothy Alan Newton	officer: Chief Technology Officer	214 JEFFERSON STREET SUITE 200, LAFAYETTE LA 70501
Matthew Coy	officer: Chief Information Officer	214 JEFFERSON ST, SUITE 200, LAFAYETTE LA 70501
Armen Yeghyazarians	officer: Chief Accounting Officer	214 JEFFERSON ST., SUITE 200, LAFAYETTE LA 70501
Steven L Scheinthal	director	1510 W LOOP S, STE 800, HOUSTON TX 77027
Thomas C. Pritchard	officer: General Counsel	3 RIVERWAY, STE. 1800, HOUSTON TX 77056
David Cronin	officer: Chief Engagement Officer	214 JEFFERSON STREET, SUITE 200, LAFAYETTE NY 70501