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Crest Nicholson Holdings (LSE:CRST) Altman Z-Score : 2.49 (As of May. 14, 2024)


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What is Crest Nicholson Holdings Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 2.49 is in the grey area. This implies that the company is under some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.8, the company may face bankruptcy risk.

Crest Nicholson Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of 2.49, indicating it is in Grey Zones. This implies that Crest Nicholson Holdings is in some kind of financial stress. If it is below 1.81, the company may face bankrupcy risk.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Crest Nicholson Holdings's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

LSE:CRST' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.38   Med: 3.21   Max: 3.98
Current: 2.49

During the past 13 years, Crest Nicholson Holdings's highest Altman Z-Score was 3.98. The lowest was 2.38. And the median was 3.21.


Crest Nicholson Holdings Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Crest Nicholson Holdings's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

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Crest Nicholson Holdings Altman Z-Score Chart

Crest Nicholson Holdings Annual Data
Trend Oct14 Oct15 Oct16 Oct17 Oct18 Oct19 Oct20 Oct21 Oct22 Oct23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.24 2.50 2.95 2.59 2.38

Crest Nicholson Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Apr14 Oct14 Apr15 Oct15 Apr16 Oct16 Apr17 Oct17 Apr18 Oct18 Apr19 Oct19 Apr20 Oct20 Apr21 Oct21 Apr22 Oct22 Apr23 Oct23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.95 - 2.59 - 2.38

Competitive Comparison of Crest Nicholson Holdings's Altman Z-Score

For the Residential Construction subindustry, Crest Nicholson Holdings's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Crest Nicholson Holdings's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Homebuilding & Construction Industry

For the Homebuilding & Construction industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Crest Nicholson Holdings's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Crest Nicholson Holdings's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Crest Nicholson Holdings Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Crest Nicholson Holdings's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.6676+1.4*0.5027+3.3*0.024+0.6*0.7891+1.0*0.4297
=2.49

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Oct. 2023:
Total Assets was £1,530.3 Mil.
Total Current Assets was £1,460.4 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was £438.7 Mil.
Retained Earnings was £769.3 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was £23.1 Mil.
Interest Expense was £-13.6 Mil.
Revenue was £657.5 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was £531.8 Mil.
Total Liabilities was £674.0 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(1460.4 - 438.7)/1530.3
=0.6676

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=769.3/1530.3
=0.5027

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(23.1 - -13.6)/1530.3
=0.024

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=531.826/674
=0.7891

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=657.5/1530.3
=0.4297

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Crest Nicholson Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of 2.49 indicating it is in Grey Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Crest Nicholson Holdings  (LSE:CRST) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Crest Nicholson Holdings Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Crest Nicholson Holdings (LSE:CRST) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
500 Dashwood Lang Road, Bourne Business Park,, Addlestone, Surrey, GBR, KT15 2HJ
Crest Nicholson Holdings PLC is a British construction company that focuses on residential property in the southern half of England. The company plans, designs, and builds single-family housing communities, apartment and townhome complexes, and commercial properties. Crest Nicholson completes approximately 3,000 homes annually with an average selling price around EUR 300,000. It is known for its particular expertise in homebuilding in the surrounding regions of London such as Surrey, Kent, Bristol, and Sussex. The company also participates in land development and planning to support its future projects.

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