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Sunac Services Holdings (HKSE:01516) Altman Z-Score : 1.53 (As of May. 25, 2024)


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What is Sunac Services Holdings Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.66 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Sunac Services Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of 1.53, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Sunac Services Holdings's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01516' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.48   Med: 3.35   Max: 9.79
Current: 1.66

During the past 7 years, Sunac Services Holdings's highest Altman Z-Score was 9.79. The lowest was 1.48. And the median was 3.35.


Sunac Services Holdings Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Sunac Services Holdings's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Sunac Services Holdings Altman Z-Score Chart

Sunac Services Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - 9.79 4.23 2.47 1.48

Sunac Services Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Dec17 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.23 - 2.47 - 1.48

Competitive Comparison of Sunac Services Holdings's Altman Z-Score

For the Real Estate Services subindustry, Sunac Services Holdings's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Sunac Services Holdings's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Sunac Services Holdings's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sunac Services Holdings's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Sunac Services Holdings Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Sunac Services Holdings's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.3005+1.4*0.026+3.3*-0.0296+0.6*1.0544+1.0*0.6019
=1.53

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was HK$12,737 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$9,558 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$5,730 Mil.
Retained Earnings was HK$331 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was HK$-385 Mil.
Interest Expense was HK$-7 Mil.
Revenue was HK$7,667 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was HK$6,236 Mil.
Total Liabilities was HK$5,914 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(9557.515 - 5729.99)/12736.868
=0.3005

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=330.642/12736.868
=0.026

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-384.563 - -7.395)/12736.868
=-0.0296

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=6235.962/5914.416
=1.0544

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=7666.862/12736.868
=0.6019

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Sunac Services Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of 1.53 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Sunac Services Holdings  (HKSE:01516) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Sunac Services Holdings Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Sunac Services Holdings (HKSE:01516) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Hongqi Road, Block O1A, 25th Floor, Sunac Center, Nankai District, Tianjin, CHN, 300381
Sunac Services Holdings Ltd is engaged in the provision of property management services, value-added services to non-property owners, community living services and commercial operational services in the PRC.
Executives
Sun Hongbin 2307 Founder of a discretionary trust who can infl
Sunac Holdings Llc 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Sunac International Investment Holdings Ltd 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Sunac China Holdings Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Sunac Services Investment Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Gai Gong Si Wei Sun Hong Bin Xian Sheng Jia Zu Xin Tuo De Shou Tuo Ren 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Sunac Shine (ptc) Limited 2301 Trustee
Morgan Stanley International Holdings Inc. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Morgan Stanley International Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Morgan Stanley Investments (uk) 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Morgan Stanley & Co. International Plc 2105 Underwriter

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