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Century Ginwa Retail Holdings (HKSE:00162) Altman Z-Score : -0.85 (As of May. 18, 2024)


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What is Century Ginwa Retail Holdings Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of -0.85 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Century Ginwa Retail Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of -0.85, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Century Ginwa Retail Holdings's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:00162' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -1.11   Med: -0.04   Max: 0.56
Current: -0.85

During the past 13 years, Century Ginwa Retail Holdings's highest Altman Z-Score was 0.56. The lowest was -1.11. And the median was -0.04.


Century Ginwa Retail Holdings Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Century Ginwa Retail Holdings's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

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Century Ginwa Retail Holdings Altman Z-Score Chart

Century Ginwa Retail Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.04 -0.75 -0.44 -1.11 -0.84

Century Ginwa Retail Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Dec13 Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.44 - -1.11 - -0.84

Competitive Comparison of Century Ginwa Retail Holdings's Altman Z-Score

For the Department Stores subindustry, Century Ginwa Retail Holdings's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Century Ginwa Retail Holdings's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Century Ginwa Retail Holdings's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Century Ginwa Retail Holdings's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Century Ginwa Retail Holdings Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Century Ginwa Retail Holdings's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.2557+1.4*-0.3538+3.3*-0.0303+0.6*0.0164+1.0*0.0473
=-0.85

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2023:
Total Assets was HK$8,413.4 Mil.
Total Current Assets was HK$319.8 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was HK$2,471.4 Mil.
Retained Earnings was HK$-2,976.8 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was HK$-507.0 Mil.
Interest Expense was HK$-251.7 Mil.
Revenue was HK$397.9 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was HK$120.7 Mil.
Total Liabilities was HK$7,375.9 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(319.758 - 2471.409)/8413.442
=-0.2557

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-2976.756/8413.442
=-0.3538

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-507.023 - -251.682)/8413.442
=-0.0303

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=120.718/7375.91
=0.0164

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=397.945/8413.442
=0.0473

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Century Ginwa Retail Holdings has a Altman Z-Score of -0.85 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Century Ginwa Retail Holdings  (HKSE:00162) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Century Ginwa Retail Holdings Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Century Ginwa Retail Holdings (HKSE:00162) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
303 Hennessy Road, Unit 301, 3rd Floor, Wanchai, OfficePlus@Wan Chai, Hong Kong, HKG
Century Ginwa Retail Holdings Ltd is an investment holding company. The segments of the group are Department stores and shopping mall; and Supermarkets. It derives key revenue from Supermarkets segment. The group's revenue is substantially derived from retail customers in the PRC.

Century Ginwa Retail Holdings (HKSE:00162) Headlines

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