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Provention Bio (Provention Bio) Altman Z2-Score : -5.71 (As of Jun. 06, 2024)


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What is Provention Bio Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

Provention Bio has a Altman Z2-Score of -5.71, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Provention Bio's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

PRVB' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.71   Med: 0.96   Max: 35.03
Current: -5.71

During the past 7 years, Provention Bio's highest Altman Z2-Score was 35.03. The lowest was -5.71. And the median was 0.96.


Provention Bio Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Provention Bio's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

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Provention Bio Altman Z2-Score Chart

Provention Bio Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial 35.03 22.35 2.60 -4.28 -5.71

Provention Bio Quarterly Data
Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -4.28 -7.54 -10.61 -1.49 -5.71

Competitive Comparison of Provention Bio's Altman Z2-Score

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Provention Bio's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Provention Bio's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Provention Bio's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Provention Bio's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Provention Bio Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Provention Bio's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.3557+3.26*-1.7126+6.72*-0.5316+1.05*1.0595
=-5.71

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2022:
Total Assets was $236.86 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $174.65 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $90.39 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-405.64 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -39.613 + -28.633 + -29.687 + -29.024 = $-126.96 Mil.
Interest Expense was -0.782 + -0.255 + 0 + 0 = $-1.04 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $115.01 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(174.649 - 90.39)/236.856
=0.3557

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-405.639/236.856
=-1.7126

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-126.957 - -1.037)/236.856
=-0.5316

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(121.849 - 0)/115.007
=1.0595

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Provention Bio has a Altman Z2-Score of -5.71 indicating it is in Distress Zones.


Provention Bio  (NAS:PRVB) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Provention Bio Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

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Provention Bio (Provention Bio) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
55 Broad Street, 2nd Floor, Red Bank, NJ, USA, 07701
Provention Bio Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company. It is engaged in sourcing, developing, and commercializing novel therapeutics and cutting-edge solutions to intercept and prevent immune-mediated disease, including oncological, autoimmune, and inflammatory diseases. The company's product candidates include PRV-031, for the interception, delay, or prevention of type 1 diabetes; PRV-3279, for the potential treatment of systemic lupus erythematosus; and PRV-101.
Executives
Sessa Capital (master), L.p. 10 percent owner 888 SEVENTH AVENUE, 30TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Ashleigh Palmer director, 10 percent owner, officer: President and CEO PROVENTION BIO, INC., 110 OLD DRIFTWAY LANE, LEBANON NJ 08833
Francisco Leon director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Scientific Officer C/O PROVENTION BIO, INC., 110 OLD DRIFTWAY LANE, LEBANON NJ 08833
Jason Hoitt officer: Chief Commercial Officer C/O DOVA PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 240 LEIGH FARM ROAD, SUITE 245, DURHAM NC 27707
Justin Vogel officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O PROVENTION BIO, INC., 55 BROAD STREET, RED BANK NJ 07701
Rita Jain director C/O AKEBIA THERAPEUTICS, INC., 245 FIRST STREET, SUITE 1100, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142
Sarah O'brien officer: Chief People Officer C/O PROVENTION BIO, INC., 55 BROAD STREET, RED BANK NJ 07701
Sessa Capital Im, L.p. 10 percent owner 888 SEVENTH AVENUE, 30TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
John Petry 10 percent owner 888 SEVENTH AVENUE, 30TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Sessa Capital Gp, Llc 10 percent owner 888 SEVENTH AVENUE, 30TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Sessa Capital Im Gp, Llc 10 percent owner 888 SEVENTH AVENUE, 30TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Miyoko Christina Yi officer: Chief Operations Officer C/O PROVENTION BIO, INC., 55 BROAD STREET, 2ND FLOOR, RED BANK NJ 07701
Benedict Osorio officer: Chief Quality Officer ONE WORLD TRADE CENTER, 47TH FLOOR, SUITE J, NEW YORK NY 10007
Eleanor Ramos officer: Chief Medical Officer & COO ZYMOGENETICS, INC., 1201 EASTLAKE AVENUE E, SEATTLE WA 98102
Thierry Chauche officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O PROVENTION BIO, INC., 55 BROAD STREET, 2ND FLOOR, RED BANK NJ 07701