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Alector (Alector) Altman Z2-Score : -0.35 (As of Jun. 08, 2024)


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What is Alector Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

Alector has a Altman Z2-Score of -0.35, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alector's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ALEC' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.72   Med: 2.15   Max: 4.61
Current: -0.35

During the past 8 years, Alector's highest Altman Z2-Score was 4.61. The lowest was -2.72. And the median was 2.15.


Alector Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Alector's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Alector Altman Z2-Score Chart

Alector Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial 2.12 0.67 3.44 2.15 -0.69

Alector Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.58 0.98 0.19 -0.69 -0.35

Competitive Comparison of Alector's Altman Z2-Score

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Alector's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alector's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Alector's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alector's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Alector Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Alector's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.6554+3.26*-1.1741+6.72*-0.183+1.05*0.3918
=-0.35

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2024:
Total Assets was $635.49 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $581.39 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $164.92 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $-746.16 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was -36.072 + -39.768 + -43.223 + 2.768 = $-116.30 Mil.
Interest Expense was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0.00 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $456.59 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(581.39 - 164.917)/635.494
=0.6554

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-746.157/635.494
=-1.1741

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(-116.295 - 0)/635.494
=-0.183

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(178.907 - 0)/456.587
=0.3918

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Alector has a Altman Z2-Score of -0.35 indicating it is in Distress Zones.


Alector  (NAS:ALEC) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Alector Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Alector's Altman Z2-Score provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Alector (Alector) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
131 Oyster Point Boulevard, Suite 600, South San Francisco, CA, USA, 94080
Alector Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company. It is engaged in developing a novel therapeutic approach for the treatment of neurodegeneration. The firm is involved in developing therapies that are designed to simultaneously counteract pathologies by restoring healthy immune function to the brain. Its pipeline products include AL001, AL002, AL003, and AL101.
Executives
Sara Kenkare-mitra officer: President and Head of R&D C/O ALECTOR, INC, 131 OYSTER POINT BLVD, SUITE 600, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Gary Romano officer: Chief Medical Officer TWO COMMERCE SQUARE, 2001 MARKET STREET, 28TH FLOOR, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Arnon Rosenthal director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O ALECTOR, INC., 151 OYSTER POINT BLVD., #300, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Marc Grasso officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O KURA ONCOLOGY, INC., 3033 SCIENCE PARK ROAD, SUITE 220, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Terrance Mcguire director, 10 percent owner C/O POLARIS VENTURE PARTNERS LP, 1000 WINTER STREET, SUITE 3350, WALTHAM MA 02154
Polaris Venture Management Co. Vi, L.l.c. 10 percent owner ONE MARINA PARK DRIVE, 8TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02210
Richard H Scheller director C/O GENENTECH INC, 1 DNA WAY MS 49, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080-4990
Paula Hammond director C/O ALECTOR, INC., 131 OYSTER POINT BLVD. SUITE 600, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Kristine Yaffe director C/O ALECTOR, INC., 131 OYSTER POINT BLVD., SUITE 600, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Tillman U. Gerngross director C/O ARSANIS, INC., 890 WINTER STREET, SUITE 230, WALTHAM MA 02451
Lavigne Louis J Jr director C/O ALLERGAN, INC., 2525 DUPONT DRIVE, IRVINE CA 92612
Elizabeth A. Garofalo director C/O ACADIA PHARMACEUTICALS INC., 12830 EL CAMINO REAL, SUITE 400, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
David M. Wehner director C/O FACEBOOK, INC., 1601 WILLOW ROAD, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Robert King officer: Chief Development Officer 950 TOWER LANE, SUITE 900, FOSTER CITY CA 94404
Shehnaaz Suliman officer: President and COO 901 GATEWAY BLVD, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080